Ludogorets II vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: match statistics
Ludogorets II vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ludogorets II played against Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa in Second League (Bulgaria). The game was played on May 11, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Ludogorets II has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Ludogorets II scores 1.21 goals per game and allows 1.38. Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa scores 1.07 and allows 1.41. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Ludogorets II's games and 55% of Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 52%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ludogorets II has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.25 per game. Ludogorets II takes 11.7 shots per game, while Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa takes 9.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Ludogorets II leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ludogorets II's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). For Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Second League games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ludogorets II has a clear advantage in offense and game control: at home they score an average of 1.93 goals per match with an average xG of 1.80, while Lokomotiv away posts 1.07 goals and xG 1.24. The hosts take significantly more shots (14.64 vs 9.00) and shots on target (7.93 vs 4.43), with similar finishing rates (13% vs 12%), which translates into a greater number of high-quality scoring opportunities. Defensively Ludogorets II concedes 1.43 goals per home match, while Lokomotiv concedes 1.79 away; in the last 5 matches the hosts scored 7 and conceded 6, and the visitors 5 and 9, confirming the hosts’ better form and defensive stability. The home goal difference is +7 versus -10 for Lokomotiv away, and a lower percentage of matches without scoring 14% vs 29%, which reduces the risk of a goalless defeat. Nevertheless, the visitors’ high draw rate away (43%) and 21% clean sheets mean a draw remains a realistic scenario; therefore I assess probabilities as 60% for the hosts, 25% for a draw and 15% for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I lean towards BTTS - Yes. Both teams have seasonal BTTS rates above 50%: Ludogorets II 53% and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 57%, versus a league average of 46%. A key factor is the visitors' weak defense — Lokomotiv concedes 1.79 goals per game this season (xG against 1.8), while the hosts have scored an average of 1.4 goals in the last 5 matches (xG 1.5), giving Ludogorets II a realistic chance to score. At the same time Lokomotiv averages 1.07 goals per game for the season (1.0 in the last 5), and Ludogorets II concedes 1.07 over the season (1.2 in the last 5), so the visitors also have statistical potential to score. Clean sheets are rare for both sides (20% and 21%), and shots on target 5.6 vs 4.43 show both teams create chances, therefore I assess the probability of BTTS at about 65% versus 35% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Ludogorets II has xG_for 1.26, and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa xG_for 1.24; average xG against is 1.80 (away) and 1.09 (home). The arithmetic mean of these values suggests about 1.53 xG for the home side and 1.17 for the away side, totaling ≈2.70 expected goals. Seasonally, over 1.5 occurred in 53% of home matches and 79% of away matches (average 66%), and the league average goals is 2.49 — this provides a strong signal for Over 1.5, hence a 78% rating for over. For the 2.5 line, seasonal rates are 47% (home) and 57% (away), but in the last 5 matches over 2.5 occurred in 60% and 80% of cases respectively, so I rate Over 2.5 at 55%. The 3.5 line has weaker foundations (20% and 29% seasonally) and with an expected total ≈2.70 Under 3.5 appears safer (78%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Home side stronger in the first half: Ludogorets II scores on average 0.6 goals by half-time versus Lokomotiv’s 0.38, with the hosts leading at the break in 27% of matches compared to the visitors’ 15%. Over the full match the hosts are also favored by the visitors’ weak defense — Lokomotiv concedes on average 1.79 goals per match with 1.8 xG against, while Ludogorets II has 1.26 xG and 1.09 xG against; a simple averaging suggests expected goals of roughly 1.5 for the home side versus ~1.17 for the visitors and a higher probability of a home win. However, the visitors are more dangerous after the break — they score 0.54 goals on average in the second half versus the hosts’ 0.47 and win 46% of second halves, so a draw at half-time can still end in a turnaround. Combining these elements the HT/FT model assigns the highest probability to the 1/1 scenario (about 24%), then X/X (about 21%) and 2/2 (about 15%), therefore I recommend the 1/1 bet — Ludogorets II leading at half-time and winning by full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ludogorets II | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 55% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ludogorets II is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Ludogorets II · 1.4 pts / game - Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ludogorets II is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.21 goals / game - Ludogorets II · 1.07 goals / game - Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Ludogorets II scores in 62% of games (18 of 29 games), while Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 games).
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa scores in 69% of games (20 of 29 games), while Ludogorets II keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ludogorets II
Over / Under - Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ludogorets II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ludogorets II
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).
Teams vs league
| Ludogorets II | Liga | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.59 | 2.48 | • 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 45% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 44% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 33% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 69% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 72% | 72% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Ludogorets IIGoalElisey Syrov
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Ludogorets II's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ludogorets II vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
The Second League match finished Ludogorets II 3:1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ludogorets II vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
Ludogorets II score 1.21 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1.07. The Second League average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Ludogorets II's matches and 55% of Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa's.
What form are Ludogorets II and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa in?
Over the last 5 games Ludogorets II have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ludogorets II vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
The statistical background for Ludogorets II vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.