Ludogorets vs Arda: match statistics
Ludogorets vs Arda: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ludogorets played against Arda in First League (Bulgaria). The game was played on October 12, 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Recent form
Ludogorets has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Arda has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Ludogorets scores 1.78 goals per game and allows 0.78. Arda scores 1.50 and allows 1.20. Games in this league average 2.67 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Ludogorets's games and 60% of Arda's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 40%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ludogorets has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.44 per game. Ludogorets takes 12.8 shots per game, while Arda takes 9.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Ludogorets leads at halftime in 56% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Arda leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ludogorets's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Arda, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First League games average 2.67 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ludogorets are the favorites: they have won 4 of their 5 home matches and are still unbeaten in the league, while Arda have lost 2 of their last 5 away games. The hosts average 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded at home, while the visitors score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per away match. Ludogorets’ edge in chance creation is reflected in their average home xG of 1.50, compared with Arda’s away xG of 1.25, although both teams have scored in every match under these conditions. Over the last 5 league rounds, Ludogorets have picked up 11 points and conceded 4 goals, while Arda have taken 7 points and conceded 8, further tilting the balance in the hosts’ favor.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have finished their season matches with goals at both ends in 60% of cases, while in their last 5 matches Ludogorets recorded 80%, compared with Arda’s 60%. The hosts score an average of 1.8 goals per match and have an xG of 1.63, giving them a solid basis for finding the net against an opponent that concedes an average of 1.4 goals. Arda score an average of 1.2 goals and generate an xG of 1.25, so they also have a chance to break down the hosts’ defense, which concedes an average of 1.0 goals. The risk to the BTTS - Yes pick comes from Ludogorets’ 40% clean-sheet rate and the average of just 0.8 goals conceded in their last 5 matches. Even so, both teams’ consistent scoring and their results in the BTTS market to date provide a slightly stronger case for goals at both ends.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least 2 goals were scored in 80% of matches involving both teams, making this the strongest indicator in favor of Over 1.5 goals. Ludogorets average 1.8 goals scored, while Arda concede 1.4, giving the home side a solid basis to score more than once. The visitors average 1.2 goals scored, but Ludogorets concede just 1.0, so I assess their contribution to the total more cautiously. The projected total of 2.70 goals favors Over 1.5, but with both teams seeing Over 2.5 goals in only 40% of their matches, the higher line does not offer as strong a signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as both teams went into the break level in 60% of their matches so far, while Arda have drawn the first half in 4 of their last 5 games. Over the season, Ludogorets have averaged just 0.4 goals before half-time, although they have raised that average to 1.0 over their last 5 matches. The hosts’ advantage is more pronounced after the break: they score an average of 1.4 goals, while Arda concede 1.0 in this period and lose it in 60% of matches. Ludogorets’ average of 1.8 goals per game compared with Arda’s 1.2, as well as their higher xG of 1.63 versus 1.25, also point to a home win at full-time. However, Arda have averaged 1.2 goals after the break in their last 5 matches, so the HT/FT scenario of a draw at the break followed by a home win is the strongest signal, but not a clear-cut certainty.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ludogorets | Arda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ludogorets is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Ludogorets · 1.4 pts / game - Arda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ludogorets is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.78 goals / game - Ludogorets · 1.5 goals / game - Arda
Ludogorets is 54% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.78 goals / game - Ludogorets · 1.2 goals / game - Arda
Ludogorets scores in 100% of games (9 of 9 games), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 games).
Arda scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 games), while Ludogorets keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ludogorets
Over / Under - Arda
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ludogorets is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Ludogorets · 1.5 pts / game - Arda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ludogorets - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 78%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Arda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ludogorets
Arda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Ludogorets | Liga | Arda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.56 | 2.67 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 68% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Ludogorets's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Arda. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ludogorets vs Arda?
The First League match finished Ludogorets 5:0 Arda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ludogorets and Arda?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ludogorets won 0, Arda won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ludogorets vs Arda?
Ludogorets score 1.78 goals per game on average and Arda 1.50. The First League average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Ludogorets's matches and 60% of Arda's.
What form are Ludogorets and Arda in?
Over the last 5 games Ludogorets have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Arda 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ludogorets vs Arda?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.