Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: match statistics
Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ludogorets play Lokomotiv Plovdiv in First League (Bulgaria). The match date is 29 May 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Ludogorets: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ludogorets scores 1.65 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores 0.97 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ludogorets 38%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 41%. Over 2.5: Ludogorets 43%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 32%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Ludogorets has higher xG: 1.99 vs 1.31. Ludogorets: 15.8 shots per match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 10.1.
Match halves
Ludogorets: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.11. Lokomotiv Plovdiv: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.51.
Goals by minute
Ludogorets: 76-90+ (21 goals). Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-2-0. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Ludogorets appear to be the clear favorite: they sit 2nd in the table with 61 goals scored and 19 wins, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 5th with 36 goals and 14 wins. At home the hosts average 1.72 goals per game, xG 2.16 and 17.56 shots (5.94 on target), whereas the visitors away average 1.00 goal, xG 1.30 and 10.44 shots (3.56 on target); shot conversion is 10% for both. Defensively Ludogorets have a marked advantage — they concede 0.67 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 50% of games, while Lokomotiv concede 1.33 goals away and have only 22% clean sheets. Additionally the hosts have xG against of 1.00 versus 1.42 for the visitors and are shut out less often (11% of home matches vs 33% of Lokomotiv’s away matches); higher possession (64% vs 43%) and more shooting opportunities also favor the home side. Considering the edge in xG, shot volume and defensive stability, I predict a Ludogorets win; estimated probabilities: 65% home, 20% draw, 15% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ludogorets | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ludogorets is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Ludogorets · 1.4 pts / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ludogorets is 70% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Ludogorets · 0.97 goals / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.68 goals / match - Ludogorets · 1.11 goals / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets scores in 76% of matches (28 of 37 matches), while Lokomotiv Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 38% (14 of 37 matches).
Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Ludogorets keeps a clean sheet in 54% (20 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ludogorets
Over / Under — Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Ludogorets · 1.43 pts / match - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ludogorets - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 51%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Ludogorets | Liga | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.32 | 2.30 | ▼ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 43% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 43% | 43% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 54% | 35% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 63% | • 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Ludogorets 1 - 2 - 0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
The First League match finished Ludogorets 0:0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ludogorets and Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ludogorets won 1, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Ludogorets score 1.65 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.97. The First League average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Ludogorets's matches and 41% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's.
What form are Ludogorets and Lokomotiv Plovdiv in?
Over the last 5 games Ludogorets have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.