Lugano vs Winterthur: match statistics
Lugano is the decided favorite for this encounter, sitting in 3rd place with impressive form including 4 wins in the last 5 matches and a goal difference of +8 at home. The hosts win 60% of their home games, scoring an average of 1.9 goals per match while conceding just 1.1. Winterthur finds themselves in last place (12th) with a catastrophic away record: 70% losses, a goal difference of -21, and only 10% away wins. The visitors have not won any of their last 5 matches, conceding an average of 3 goals per away game and failing to keep a single clean sheet. Lugano's immense advantage in form, offensive efficiency, and defensive solidity, combined with Winterthur's tragic road results, unequivocally points to a certain home victory.
Lugano vs Winterthur: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lugano played against Winterthur in Super League (Switzerland). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Lugano has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Winterthur has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Lugano scores 1.65 goals per game and allows 1.25. Winterthur scores 1.21 and allows 2.74. Games in this league average 3.27 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Lugano's games and 63% of Winterthur's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 84%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lugano has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.25 per game. Lugano takes 13.7 shots per game, while Winterthur takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Lugano leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Winterthur leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.79 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lugano's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). For Winterthur, it is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Super League games average 3.27 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lugano is the decided favorite for this encounter, sitting in 3rd place with impressive form including 4 wins in the last 5 matches and a goal difference of +8 at home. The hosts win 60% of their home games, scoring an average of 1.9 goals per match while conceding just 1.1. Winterthur finds themselves in last place (12th) with a catastrophic away record: 70% losses, a goal difference of -21, and only 10% away wins. The visitors have not won any of their last 5 matches, conceding an average of 3 goals per away game and failing to keep a single clean sheet. Lugano's immense advantage in form, offensive efficiency, and defensive solidity, combined with Winterthur's tragic road results, unequivocally points to a certain home victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lugano | Winterthur | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lugano is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Lugano · 0.8 pts / game - Winterthur
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lugano is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
1.65 goals / game - Lugano · 1.21 goals / game - Winterthur
Lugano is 119% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.25 goals / game - Lugano · 2.74 goals / game - Winterthur
Lugano scores in 85% of games (17 of 20 meczów), while Winterthur keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 19 meczów).
Winterthur scores in 63% of games (12 of 19 meczów), while Lugano keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lugano
Over / Under - Winterthur
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lugano is 96% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / game - Lugano · 0.84 pts / game - Winterthur
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lugano - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Winterthur - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 11%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lugano
Winterthur
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Lugano | Liga | Winterthur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.90 | 3.27 | ▲ 3.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 64% | • 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 67% | ▲ 84% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 21% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 82% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Lugano's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Winterthur. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lugano vs Winterthur?
The Super League match finished Lugano 4:1 Winterthur. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lugano vs Winterthur?
Lugano score 1.65 goals per game on average and Winterthur 1.21. The Super League average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Lugano's matches and 63% of Winterthur's.
What form are Lugano and Winterthur in?
Over the last 5 games Lugano have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Winterthur 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lugano vs Winterthur?
The statistical background for Lugano vs Winterthur — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.