Lugazi Municipal vs NEC: match statistics
Lugazi Municipal shows solid disposition in home matches, securing 50% victories and holding a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.63 goals per home match and have shown good form on their own turf in the last five meetings. NEC, despite a better table position and great recent form (2.2 points per match), has weak away statistics – only 22% wins and just 0.78 goals on average per away match. The visitors often draw on the road (44%), making a draw a real option; however, the hosts' advantage in home matches and NEC's poor scoring efficiency away argue for a victory for Lugazi Municipal. The expected goals (xG) result also favors the hosts (1.57 vs 1.24), confirming their advantage in this clash.
Lugazi Municipal vs NEC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lugazi Municipal played against NEC in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on March 6, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Lugazi Municipal has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. NEC has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Lugazi Municipal scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 1.33. NEC scores 1.06 and allows 0.89. Games in this league average 2.15 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Lugazi Municipal's games and 56% of NEC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 28%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 36% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
NEC has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.39 per game. Lugazi Municipal takes 8.8 shots per game, while NEC takes 9.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Lugazi Municipal leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.39 goals per game after halftime. NEC leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.61 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lugazi Municipal's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For NEC, it is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.15 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 36% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lugazi Municipal shows solid disposition in home matches, securing 50% victories and holding a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.63 goals per home match and have shown good form on their own turf in the last five meetings. NEC, despite a better table position and great recent form (2.2 points per match), has weak away statistics – only 22% wins and just 0.78 goals on average per away match. The visitors often draw on the road (44%), making a draw a real option; however, the hosts' advantage in home matches and NEC's poor scoring efficiency away argue for a victory for Lugazi Municipal. The expected goals (xG) result also favors the hosts (1.57 vs 1.24), confirming their advantage in this clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lugazi Municipal | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
NEC is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Lugazi Municipal · 2.2 pts / game - NEC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NEC is 28% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - Lugazi Municipal · 1.06 goals / game - NEC
NEC is 49% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Lugazi Municipal · 0.89 goals / game - NEC
Lugazi Municipal scores in 44% of games (8 of 18 games), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 games).
NEC scores in 83% of games (15 of 18 games), while Lugazi Municipal keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lugazi Municipal
Over / Under - NEC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NEC is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Lugazi Municipal · 1.56 pts / game - NEC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lugazi Municipal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 22%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
NEC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lugazi Municipal
NEC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Lugazi Municipal | Liga | NEC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.17 | 2.15 | ▼ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 41% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 36% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 37% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 60% | ▲ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Lugazi Municipal's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against NEC. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lugazi Municipal vs NEC?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Lugazi Municipal 0:2 NEC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lugazi Municipal vs NEC?
Lugazi Municipal score 0.83 goals per game on average and NEC 1.06. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Lugazi Municipal's matches and 56% of NEC's.
What form are Lugazi Municipal and NEC in?
Over the last 5 games Lugazi Municipal have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and NEC 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lugazi Municipal vs NEC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.