Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa: match statistics

Maccabi Tel Aviv sit 1st in the table, while Maccabi Haifa are 3rd, with home advantage further giving the hosts a slight edge. Both teams have identical records in their last five matches: 3 wins and 2 losses, averaging 1.8 points per game, so there is little to separate them. However, Tel Aviv have scored 10 goals during this period, 3 more than Haifa, indicating greater attacking potential. Neither defense has been particularly stable recently, with the hosts conceding 8 goals and the visitors 7, so the match could produce chances at both ends. This season, Maccabi Tel Aviv won the first meeting 5:2, while Haifa prevailed 2:1, reinforcing the prediction of a narrow home win.

The BTTS - Yes pick is primarily supported by the current form of both teams: Maccabi Tel Aviv have scored an average of 2.0 goals in their last 5 matches, while Maccabi Haifa have averaged 1.4. During this period, the hosts conceded 1.6 goals per game, whereas the visitors conceded 1.4, indicating genuine scoring opportunities at both ends. The quality of chances created also points towards goals: the average xG is 1.44 for Tel Aviv and 1.74 for Haifa, with opponents recording xG figures of 1.47 and 1.24, respectively. BTTS landed in 60% of the hosts’ last five matches and in 40% of the visitors’ games, while the league average for this market is 60%. Although the visitors’ season data is incomplete, the combination of their attacking xG and Tel Aviv’s defensive vulnerability creates a slightly stronger scenario in which both teams score at least one goal.

Maccabi Tel Aviv’s last five matches produced an average of 3.6 goals, with the team scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.6 per game. Maccabi Haifa’s matches were slightly more cautious, but still averaged 2.8 goals, with 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. The attacking potential of both sides is confirmed by their latest xG figures: 1.44 for the hosts and 1.74 for the visitors, while their opponents allowed 1.24 and 1.47 xG respectively. The Over/Under 2.5 line is close to balanced, although Over 2.5 landed in 80% of the hosts’ and 60% of the visitors’ last five matches. The strongest signal comes from Over 1.5, as the projected 2.85 goals is clearly above this threshold, while the league averages 2.8 goals per match.

Maccabi Tel Aviv held the lead at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Maccabi Haifa were ahead after 45 minutes in 2 of their 5 games and level at half-time in 2. During this period, the hosts averaged 1.2 goals after the break, twice as many as the visitors’ 0.6, strengthening their chances of maintaining or extending their advantage. In the available home-season data, Tel Aviv won their only match, scoring 2 goals from an xG of 1.96 and averaging 6 shots on target. Both teams have identical records over their last five matches, with 3 wins and 2 defeats each; however, the hosts’ superior attacking output and stronger second-half profile make the HT/FT lead-and-win scenario the most likely outcome.