Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca: match statistics
Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Maghreb Fès played against Raja Casablanca in Botola Pro (Morocco). The game was played on May 6, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Maghreb Fès has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Raja Casablanca has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Maghreb Fès scores 1.56 goals per game and allows 0.44. Raja Casablanca scores 1.28 and allows 0.39. Games in this league average 2.13 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Maghreb Fès's games and 28% of Raja Casablanca's. The Over 2.5 rates are 28% and 17%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Raja Casablanca has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.17 per game. Maghreb Fès takes 8.8 shots per game, while Raja Casablanca takes 10.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Maghreb Fès leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.94 goals per game after halftime. Raja Casablanca leads at halftime in 56% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Maghreb Fès's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Raja Casablanca, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Botola Pro games average 2.13 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Maghreb Fès holds a clear advantage in home and overall statistics — at home they average 2.13 goals scored and concede only 0.38, keeping a clean sheet in 75% of matches and remaining unbeaten this season (0 losses). Their home shot conversion is 22% with 4.5 shots on target per game, whereas Raja converts just 11% on the road with 4.0 shots on target, indicating a significant home edge in chance conversion. Raja is however in better form (4 wins and 9 goals in the last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 points) compared to Maghreb (3 wins, 8 goals, 2.2 points), but away they score only 1.0 goal on average and have 25% of games without scoring. Home xG for Maghreb is 1.37 versus away xG of 1.26 for Raja, and Maghreb actually scores more than their xG suggests (2.13 vs 1.37), indicating higher offensive efficiency. Considering the lower average goals conceded at home (0.38 vs 0.63), better conversion and 75% clean sheets, a Maghreb Fès victory is more likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I indicate 'no' as the stronger scenario: Maghreb Fès has a season BTTS rate of 20% with 80% clean sheets and an average of 0.2 goals conceded per match, which significantly reduces the likelihood of the home side conceding. Raja Casablanca has a season BTTS 38% and averages 1.0 goals scored per match, but their xG against is 1.40 while the actual season average goals conceded is 0.63, suggesting some chances for the opponent but not consistent finishing. Offensively Maghreb creates more opportunities: xG 1.46 vs 1.26 for Raja, on average 11.6 shots vs 9.25 and 4.4 shots on target vs 4.0; with a conversion rate of 13% vs 11% the hosts are more threatening, but their strong defense limits risk to their own goal. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred for both teams in 40% of games, with average goals 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded by Maghreb and 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded by Raja, which shows the home defense remains key. Considering the hosts' 80% clean sheets, season BTTS 20% vs 38% for the visitors, and Maghreb's advantage in xG and shots, I assess BTTS probability at 30% and No BTTS at 70%, therefore the best pick is 'no' (No Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG show 1.46 for Maghreb Fès and 1.26 for Raja Casablanca, with xG against at 1.40 for Raja and 0.78 for Maghreb; averaging these yields a forecast of 1.43 goals for the home side and 1.02 for the away side, totaling 2.45 expected goals. Based on this, the probability distribution indicates roughly a 70% chance of Over 1.5, ~44% for Over 2.5 and ~23% for Over 3.5. Seasonal figures reinforce a conservative projection: Over 2.5 occurred in only 20% of Maghreb’s matches and 13% of Raja’s, while Over 3.5 in 10% and 0% of cases, with Maghreb recording 80% clean sheets and only 20% BTTS. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is Under 3.5 (approx. 77% chance), although Over 1.5 (approx. 70%) can be a reasonable alternative at favorable odds.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Maghreb Fès has a clear home advantage: average points per home match are 2.4 versus 1.5 for Raja Casablanca, home win rate is 70% vs 38%, and average goals scored are 1.5 versus 1.0 for the visitors. This aligns with superior xG and defensive metrics — home xG is 1.46 vs 1.26 for the visitors, and xG against Maghreb Fès is only 0.78 compared to 1.4 for Raja; the hosts concede an average of 0.2 goals per match vs 0.63 for the visitors. At half-time the hosts led in 60% of matches (6 this season) and average 0.7 goals by the break vs 0.5 for the visitors, with a seasonal clean sheet rate at home of 80%, which increases the likelihood of maintaining a lead. The second half also favors Maghreb Fès — second-half average points are 2.0 for the hosts vs 1.13 for the visitors, and the hosts concede only 0.2 goals there on average vs 0.63 for Raja. Considering these figures and the fact that the visitors are in good short-term form (last 5 matches: 80% wins and 80% leading at half-time), I select HT/FT 1/1 as the strongest signal and assign it the highest probability (48%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Maghreb Fès | Raja Casablanca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Raja Casablanca is 9% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Maghreb Fès · 2.4 pts / game - Raja Casablanca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Maghreb Fès is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1.56 goals / game - Maghreb Fès · 1.28 goals / game - Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.44 goals / game - Maghreb Fès · 0.39 goals / game - Raja Casablanca
Maghreb Fès scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Raja Casablanca keeps a clean sheet in 67% (12 of 18 meczów).
Raja Casablanca scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Maghreb Fès keeps a clean sheet in 61% (11 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Maghreb Fès
Over / Under - Raja Casablanca
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Raja Casablanca is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / game - Maghreb Fès · 2.11 pts / game - Raja Casablanca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Maghreb Fès - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Raja Casablanca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Maghreb Fès
Raja Casablanca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Botola Pro).
Teams vs league
| Maghreb Fès | Liga | Raja Casablanca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.13 | ▼ 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 49% | ▼ 28% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 38% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 61% | 32% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 60% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Maghreb Fès's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Raja Casablanca. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca?
The Botola Pro match finished Maghreb Fès 0:2 Raja Casablanca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca?
Maghreb Fès score 1.56 goals per game on average and Raja Casablanca 1.28. The Botola Pro average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Maghreb Fès's matches and 28% of Raja Casablanca's.
What form are Maghreb Fès and Raja Casablanca in?
Over the last 5 games Maghreb Fès have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Raja Casablanca 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca?
The statistical background for Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.