Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mainz 05 plays Werder Bremen in Bundesliga (Germany). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Mewa Arena.
Recent form
Mainz 05 has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Werder Bremen has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Mainz 05 scores 2.33 goals per game and allows 1.67. Werder Bremen scores 2.00 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 3.69 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Mainz 05's games and 100% of Werder Bremen's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 83%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 74% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mainz 05 has the higher season xG average, 1.92 to 1.64 per game. Mainz 05 takes 17.7 shots per game, while Werder Bremen takes 14.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Mainz 05 leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.17 goals per game after halftime. Werder Bremen leads at halftime in 17% and scores 1.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mainz 05's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Werder Bremen, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.69 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 74% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mainz 05 | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mainz 05 is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
2.33 goals / game - Mainz 05 · 2 goals / game - Werder Bremen
Mainz 05 is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.67 goals / game - Mainz 05 · 2 goals / game - Werder Bremen
Mainz 05 scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 games), while Werder Bremen keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 games).
Werder Bremen scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mainz 05
Over / Under - Werder Bremen
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mainz 05 is 173% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / game - Mainz 05 · 0.67 pts / game - Werder Bremen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Werder Bremen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Mainz 05 | Liga | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.00 | 3.69 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 83% | 83% | • 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Mainz 05's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Werder Bremen. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen play?
Mainz 05 face Werder Bremen on October 24, 2026 in Bundesliga at Mewa Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mainz 05 won 1, Werder Bremen won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
Mainz 05 score 2.33 goals per game on average and Werder Bremen 2.00. The Bundesliga average is 3.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mainz 05's matches and 100% of Werder Bremen's.
What form are Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen in?
Over the last 5 games Mainz 05 have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Werder Bremen 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
The statistical background for Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.