Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg: match statistics
Mainz 05 occupies a difficult 17th position in the table with just an 11% win rate at home, but recently shows improved form (2 wins in the last 5 matches, 1.6 PPG). Wolfsburg presents unstable form on the road with 50% losses and a high average of conceded goals (2.13 per match), though they finish actions more effectively (14% shot conversion vs 6% for Mainz). Both teams have a negative goal difference at their own venues (-5 Mainz, -6 Wolfsburg), suggesting a balanced rivalry. Considering similar xG values (1.42 vs 1.1 for the visitors), the high average of total goals in Wolfsburg's away matches (3.5), and the hosts' recent improvement in form, a draw or a narrow victory for one side seems most probable. Statistics indicate even chances with a slight advantage for the hosts playing in front of their own crowd.
Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mainz 05 played against Wolfsburg in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Mainz 05 has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Wolfsburg has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Mainz 05 scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.72. Wolfsburg scores 1.50 and allows 2.11. Games in this league average 3.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Mainz 05's games and 78% of Wolfsburg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 67%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Wolfsburg has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.27 per game. Mainz 05 takes 10.8 shots per game, while Wolfsburg takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Mainz 05 leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Wolfsburg leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mainz 05's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Wolfsburg, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.24 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mainz 05 occupies a difficult 17th position in the table with just an 11% win rate at home, but recently shows improved form (2 wins in the last 5 matches, 1.6 PPG). Wolfsburg presents unstable form on the road with 50% losses and a high average of conceded goals (2.13 per match), though they finish actions more effectively (14% shot conversion vs 6% for Mainz). Both teams have a negative goal difference at their own venues (-5 Mainz, -6 Wolfsburg), suggesting a balanced rivalry. Considering similar xG values (1.42 vs 1.1 for the visitors), the high average of total goals in Wolfsburg's away matches (3.5), and the hosts' recent improvement in form, a draw or a narrow victory for one side seems most probable. Statistics indicate even chances with a slight advantage for the hosts playing in front of their own crowd.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mainz 05 | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Wolfsburg is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Mainz 05 · 1.4 pts / game - Wolfsburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wolfsburg is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Mainz 05 · 1.5 goals / game - Wolfsburg
Mainz 05 is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.72 goals / game - Mainz 05 · 2.11 goals / game - Wolfsburg
Mainz 05 scores in 56% of games (10 of 18 meczów), while Wolfsburg keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 meczów).
Wolfsburg scores in 83% of games (15 of 18 meczów), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mainz 05
Over / Under - Wolfsburg
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 11%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Wolfsburg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mainz 05
Wolfsburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Mainz 05 | Liga | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.72 | 3.24 | ▲ 3.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 58% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 24% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 94% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 82% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Mainz 05's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Wolfsburg. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg?
The Bundesliga match finished Mainz 05 3:1 Wolfsburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg?
Mainz 05 score 1.00 goals per game on average and Wolfsburg 1.50. The Bundesliga average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Mainz 05's matches and 78% of Wolfsburg's.
What form are Mainz 05 and Wolfsburg in?
Over the last 5 games Mainz 05 have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Wolfsburg 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.