Malvern Town vs Yate Town: match statistics
Malvern Town vs Yate Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Malvern Town played against Yate Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The game was played on October 13, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Malvern Town has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Yate Town has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Malvern Town scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 2.90. Yate Town scores 1.30 and allows 2.10. Games in this league average 3.13 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of Malvern Town's games and 70% of Yate Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 90% and 70%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Malvern Town has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.03 per game. Malvern Town takes 3.1 shots per game, while Yate Town takes -0.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Malvern Town leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.90 goals per game after halftime. Yate Town leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Malvern Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Yate Town, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Southern League Premier South games average 3.13 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Malvern Town have the advantage at home, averaging 2 goals per match with an xG of 1.72, while Yate Town score 1.2 goals away from home with an xG of 1.03. The hosts average 14 shots at home, compared with just 6 for the visitors away, suggesting Malvern are likely to create more scoring opportunities. The hosts’ defense remains a concern: they concede 2.25 goals per home match and have yet to keep a clean sheet there. Both teams have been in poor form recently — Malvern have won 1 of their last 5 matches and conceded 14 goals in that run, while Yate have failed to win any of their last 5. Despite their defensive uncertainty, Malvern’s greater volume of chances and higher scoring efficiency at home give them a slight edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams frequently feature in matches with goals at both ends: Malvern Town have seen this in 75% of their matches, and Yate Town in 80%, compared with the league average of 60%. The hosts score an average of 1.75 goals per match and have yet to finish a match without scoring, while the visitors have yet to keep a clean sheet and concede an average of 2.0 goals. Yate also have a chance to score, averaging 1.2 goals, while Malvern concede 2.0; in their last five matches, the hosts conceded as many as 2.8 goals per game. The visitors’ recent dip in scoring warrants caution: they averaged 0.8 goals across five matches, and both teams scored in 40% of those games. Despite this, the season-long frequency of goals at both ends and the hosts’ weak defense support a BTTS - Yes selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Malvern Town score an average of 1.75 goals per match, while Yate Town concede 2.00; the visitors, in turn, average 1.20 goals scored, while the hosts concede 2.00. Malvern have conceded an average of 2.8 goals across their last five matches, further boosting the likelihood of Yate finding the net. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 75% of Malvern’s matches and 100% of Yate’s, while the 2.5-goal line has been surpassed in 75% and 60% of matches, respectively. The forecast of 3.36 goals points to an open, high-scoring game, but Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, as results for both teams support it far more clearly than the higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is likely, as Yate Town were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches and failed to score before half-time in all of them. Malvern Town averaged just 0.4 first-half goals over this period, so an early lead is far from certain. However, the case for a home win is supported by Malvern’s home record: they have won 50% of their matches and average 1.75 goals, while Yate have won 20% of their away games and scored an average of 1.2 goals. The visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet away from home, giving Malvern a chance to find the decisive goal after the break. The risk with the X/1 pick is the hosts’ weaker recent form — they have failed to score in the second half in 4 of their last 5 matches — so a draw at full-time remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Malvern Town | Yate Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 0% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.52 | 0.00 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.17 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Yate Town is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Malvern Town · 0.8 pts / game - Yate Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Malvern Town is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.4 goals / game - Malvern Town · 1.3 goals / game - Yate Town
Yate Town is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.9 goals / game - Malvern Town · 2.1 goals / game - Yate Town
Malvern Town scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Yate Town keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).
Yate Town scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Malvern Town keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Malvern Town
Over / Under - Yate Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Yate Town is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Malvern Town · 1.6 pts / game - Yate Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Malvern Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 10%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Yate Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Malvern Town
Yate Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Malvern Town | Liga | Yate Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.30 | 3.13 | ▲ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 61% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 90% | 59% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 22% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 76% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 86% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Malvern Town vs Yate Town?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Malvern Town 3:2 Yate Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Malvern Town vs Yate Town?
Malvern Town score 1.40 goals per game on average and Yate Town 1.30. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Malvern Town's matches and 70% of Yate Town's.
What form are Malvern Town and Yate Town in?
Over the last 5 games Malvern Town have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Yate Town 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Malvern Town vs Yate Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Malvern Town vs Yate Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.