Manisa BBSK vs BB Bodrumspor: match statistics

Manisa BBSK sit 3rd, while BB Bodrumspor are only 17th, and the hosts remain unbeaten this season with a record of 2 wins and 1 draw. In their last five matches, Manisa have scored 14 goals and collected 10 points, whereas Bodrumspor have netted just 3 goals and earned 5 points. At home, the hosts have won every match so far, averaging 4 goals and 7 shots on target per game, with a 29% conversion rate. The visitors have drawn all of their away matches to date, but concede an average of 2 goals, while their defense allows opponents chances worth 1.83 xG compared with Manisa’s 1.22 xG. Bodrumspor are capable of creating opportunities, as shown by their away xG of 1.51; however, their clearly inferior recent finishing and the hosts’ attacking advantage point towards a Manisa victory.

The stronger signal points to the BTTS - No scenario, as Manisa have averaged 0.0 goals per match in the season data and failed to score in as many as 100% of their games. Bodrumspor have scored 2.0 goals per match across the season, but their average has dropped significantly to 0.6 goals over their last five appearances. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, while their average xG against stands at 1.31, giving them a realistic chance of keeping out the less effective visitors in recent weeks. The case for BTTS - Yes is supported by Manisa’s strong current attacking form, with 2.8 goals and an xG of 1.30 in their last five matches, but Bodrumspor have had both teams score in only 20% of their games during this period. With the league BTTS average at 50%, the more likely outcome is that at least one team—particularly Bodrumspor—will fail to score.

Manisa averaged 2.8 goals scored across their last five matches, with 100% of those games finishing over 2.5 goals. During this period, Bodrumspor conceded 1.2 goals per match, while allowing a high average xG of 1.98, which favors the hosts’ attacking efficiency. The visitors average 5.0 shots on target per match, and their season-long average xG stands at 1.51, giving them genuine potential to add a goal despite their weaker recent average of 0.6 goals scored. The expected goals total of 2.75 clearly supports at least two goals, making Over 1.5 the strongest selection with a projected probability of 76%.

Manisa are in clearly better current form: they have collected 10 points from their last five matches, winning 60% of them, while Bodrumspor have won only 20% and lost 40%. The hosts were leading at the break in three of their last five outings, scoring an average of 1.8 goals before half-time, whereas the visitors failed to take the lead on every occasion and did not score a single goal in that period. Manisa’s advantage is also evident over the full 90 minutes, with their average of 2.8 goals across the last five matches comfortably exceeding Bodrumspor’s 0.6. After the interval, the hosts continue to look solid, recording a positive +3 goal difference in their last five matches while conceding only 0.4 goals on average. The most likely scenario is therefore that Manisa will exploit the visitors’ poor start, take the lead before half-time and hold on to it until the final whistle.