Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Mansfield Town presents solid home form with a record of 38% wins and only 25% of matches without scoring at home, however, the last 5 overall matches brought only 1 win (PPG: 0.8). AFC Wimbledon shows better disposition in recent matches (PPG: 1.4, 11 goals in 5 games), but on the road, they concede an average of 1.94 goals and have only a 35% win rate. A key factor is the hosts' xG advantage (1.43 vs 1.11), suggesting better quality of created chances, yet Mansfield's poor series (4 losses in the last 5 matches) lowers their odds. Considering the balanced level of both teams, the small difference in goal difference, and the hosts' uncertain form, a draw seems the most probable result, although Mansfield's slight advantage in home play gives them minimally higher chances of victory.
Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mansfield Town played against AFC Wimbledon in EFL League One (England). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Mansfield Town has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. AFC Wimbledon has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Mansfield Town scores 1.19 goals per game and allows 1.13. AFC Wimbledon scores 1.22 and allows 1.44. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Mansfield Town's games and 50% of AFC Wimbledon's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 50%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mansfield Town has the higher season xG average, 1.22 to 1.15 per game. Mansfield Town takes 10.9 shots per game, while AFC Wimbledon takes 10.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Mansfield Town leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. AFC Wimbledon leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mansfield Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For AFC Wimbledon, it is minutes 61-75 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Mansfield Town presents solid home form with a record of 38% wins and only 25% of matches without scoring at home, however, the last 5 overall matches brought only 1 win (PPG: 0.8). AFC Wimbledon shows better disposition in recent matches (PPG: 1.4, 11 goals in 5 games), but on the road, they concede an average of 1.94 goals and have only a 35% win rate. A key factor is the hosts' xG advantage (1.43 vs 1.11), suggesting better quality of created chances, yet Mansfield's poor series (4 losses in the last 5 matches) lowers their odds. Considering the balanced level of both teams, the small difference in goal difference, and the hosts' uncertain form, a draw seems the most probable result, although Mansfield's slight advantage in home play gives them minimally higher chances of victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mansfield Town | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AFC Wimbledon is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Mansfield Town · 2 pts / game - AFC Wimbledon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mansfield Town is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.13 goals / game - Mansfield Town · 1.44 goals / game - AFC Wimbledon
Mansfield Town scores in 74% of games (23 of 31 meczów), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 meczów).
AFC Wimbledon scores in 63% of games (20 of 32 meczów), while Mansfield Town keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mansfield Town
Over / Under - AFC Wimbledon
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mansfield Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
AFC Wimbledon - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mansfield Town
AFC Wimbledon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Mansfield Town | Liga | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.32 | 2.61 | • 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Mansfield Town's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against AFC Wimbledon. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
The EFL League One match finished Mansfield Town 2:2 AFC Wimbledon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
Mansfield Town score 1.19 goals per game on average and AFC Wimbledon 1.22. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Mansfield Town's matches and 50% of AFC Wimbledon's.
What form are Mansfield Town and AFC Wimbledon in?
Over the last 5 games Mansfield Town have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and AFC Wimbledon 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.