Mantova vs Cesena: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams. Mantova presents solid home form with a 40% home win rate and a favorable goal difference in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). The home team dominates in ball possession (61%) and creates more chances (1.75 xG). Cesena, on the other hand, shows an identical away win rate (40%), although their recent form raises concerns (0 wins in 5 matches, only 0.6 points per match). The visitors have lower xG statistics (1.26) and find the net less frequently on the road (1.13 goals/match). Taking into account Mantova's advantage in home games and Cesena's weaker disposition in recent weeks, combined with the similarity in overall efficiency indicators, a draw or a narrow victory for the hosts seems to be the most likely outcome.
Mantova vs Cesena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mantova play Cesena in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 17 March 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Mantova: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Cesena: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mantova scores 1.18 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Cesena scores 1.18 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mantova 50%, Cesena 61%. Over 2.5: Mantova 53%, Cesena 53%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Mantova has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.45. Mantova: 14.1 shots per match, Cesena: 13.1.
Match halves
Mantova: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.63. Cesena: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Mantova: 76-90+ (15 goals). Cesena: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams. Mantova presents solid home form with a 40% home win rate and a favorable goal difference in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). The home team dominates in ball possession (61%) and creates more chances (1.75 xG). Cesena, on the other hand, shows an identical away win rate (40%), although their recent form raises concerns (0 wins in 5 matches, only 0.6 points per match). The visitors have lower xG statistics (1.26) and find the net less frequently on the road (1.13 goals/match). Taking into account Mantova's advantage in home games and Cesena's weaker disposition in recent weeks, combined with the similarity in overall efficiency indicators, a draw or a narrow victory for the hosts seems to be the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mantova | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mantova is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Mantova · 0.4 pts / match - Cesena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mantova scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
Cesena scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mantova
Over / Under — Cesena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mantova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cesena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mantova
Cesena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Mantova | Liga | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.68 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mantova 0 - 0 - 1 Cesena. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mantova vs Cesena?
The Serie B match finished Mantova 3:0 Cesena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Cesena?
Mantova score 1.18 goals per game on average and Cesena 1.18. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mantova's matches and 61% of Cesena's.
What form are Mantova and Cesena in?
Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Cesena 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Cesena?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mantova vs Cesena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.