Mantova vs Cesena: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams. Mantova presents solid home form with a 40% home win rate and a favorable goal difference in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). The home team dominates in ball possession (61%) and creates more chances (1.75 xG). Cesena, on the other hand, shows an identical away win rate (40%), although their recent form raises concerns (0 wins in 5 matches, only 0.6 points per match). The visitors have lower xG statistics (1.26) and find the net less frequently on the road (1.13 goals/match). Taking into account Mantova's advantage in home games and Cesena's weaker disposition in recent weeks, combined with the similarity in overall efficiency indicators, a draw or a narrow victory for the hosts seems to be the most likely outcome.
Mantova vs Cesena: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mantova played against Cesena in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on March 17, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Mantova has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Cesena has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Mantova scores 1.07 goals per game and allows 1.53. Cesena scores 1.27 and allows 1.43. Games in this league average 2.53 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Mantova's games and 67% of Cesena's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 57%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mantova has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.43 per game. Mantova takes 14.2 shots per game, while Cesena takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Mantova leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Cesena leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mantova's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Cesena, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.53 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams. Mantova presents solid home form with a 40% home win rate and a favorable goal difference in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). The home team dominates in ball possession (61%) and creates more chances (1.75 xG). Cesena, on the other hand, shows an identical away win rate (40%), although their recent form raises concerns (0 wins in 5 matches, only 0.6 points per match). The visitors have lower xG statistics (1.26) and find the net less frequently on the road (1.13 goals/match). Taking into account Mantova's advantage in home games and Cesena's weaker disposition in recent weeks, combined with the similarity in overall efficiency indicators, a draw or a narrow victory for the hosts seems to be the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mantova | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mantova is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Mantova · 0.6 pts / game - Cesena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cesena is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.07 goals / game - Mantova · 1.27 goals / game - Cesena
Cesena is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.53 goals / game - Mantova · 1.43 goals / game - Cesena
Mantova scores in 67% of games (20 of 30 meczów), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 meczów).
Cesena scores in 80% of games (24 of 30 meczów), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mantova
Over / Under - Cesena
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cesena is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / game - Mantova · 1.3 pts / game - Cesena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mantova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Cesena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mantova
Cesena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Mantova | Liga | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.60 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 72% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Mantova's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Cesena. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mantova vs Cesena?
The Serie B match finished Mantova 3:0 Cesena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Cesena?
Mantova score 1.07 goals per game on average and Cesena 1.27. The Serie B average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Mantova's matches and 67% of Cesena's.
What form are Mantova and Cesena in?
Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cesena 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Cesena?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mantova vs Cesena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.