Türkiye - 1. Lig21 Kasim Sehir StadyumuData current as of October 14, 2026

Mardin BB vs Fatih Karagümrük: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Mardin BB vs Fatih Karagümrük: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Mardin BB plays Fatih Karagümrük in 1. Lig (Türkiye). The game is scheduled for October 15, 2026. Venue: 21 Kasim Sehir Stadyumu.

Recent form

Mardin BB has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Fatih Karagümrük has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Mardin BB scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 0.67. Fatih Karagümrük scores 1.44 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Mardin BB's games and 78% of Fatih Karagümrük's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 33%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Fatih Karagümrük has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.37 per game. Mardin BB takes 12.0 shots per game, while Fatih Karagümrük takes 12.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Mardin BB leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Fatih Karagümrük leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.78 after halftime.

When the teams score

Mardin BB's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Fatih Karagümrük, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

1. Lig games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
1.22Goals scored / game1.44
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
0.67Goals allowed / game1.33
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
43%Average possession47%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
3.44Shots on target / game4.44
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12Shots per game12.78
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
3.44Shots on target4.44
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
10.2%Shot conversion11.3%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
43%Possession47%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
1.37xG for1.46
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
1.49xG against1.38
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük

Shooting quality

Mardin BB: BalancedFatih Karagümrük: Balanced
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
Accuracy (shots on target)29%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Mardin BB is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Mardin BB · 1.2 pts / game - Fatih Karagümrük

Mardin BB
DWLLW
Season result split
44% W33% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-2
1.67 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.80BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Fatih Karagümrük
DLDWD
Season result split
33% W44% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-2
1.44 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
LDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fatih Karagümrük is 18% better for: goals scored per game.

1.22 goals / game - Mardin BB · 1.44 goals / game - Fatih Karagümrük

Mardin BB is 99% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.67 goals / game - Mardin BB · 1.33 goals / game - Fatih Karagümrük

Mardin BB scoring profile: very strong

Mardin BB scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while Fatih Karagümrük keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 games).

Fatih Karagümrük scoring profile: very strong

Fatih Karagümrük scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Mardin BB keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 games).

11Goals scored (season)13
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
6Goals conceded (season)12
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
1.89Average goals per game2.78
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
5Goals scored (last 5)8
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal89%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
44%2 goals44%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
11%3 goals11%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
0%4 goals0%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal89%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
11%2 goals22%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
0%3 goals11%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
0%4 goals11%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time22%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
33%Scored in both halves11%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
40%BTTS - last 580%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

44%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mardin BB is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.89 pts / game - Mardin BB · 1.44 pts / game - Fatih Karagümrük

Mardin BB - half-time state
44% leading56% draw0% trailing
Fatih Karagümrük - half-time state
33% leading44% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.89Points per game (1st half)1.44
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.67
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
0.67Average goals (1st half)1.11
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
100%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
56%No goal before half-time44%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per game (2nd half)1.11
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
1.22Average goals (2nd half)1.67
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
44%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük
44%No goal after half-time56%
Mardin BBFatih Karagümrük

Mardin BB - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
17
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Fatih Karagümrük - second-half results

22% W44% D33% L
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Mardin BB - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.80
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game0.61.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Fatih Karagümrük - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.20
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Mardin BB
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
3
1
46-60
0
3
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Fatih Karagümrük
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
4
1
31-45
4
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Mardin BB

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.82
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Fatih Karagümrük

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Lig).

Teams vs league

Mardin BBLigaFatih Karagümrük
Average goals per game▼ 1.892.65▲ 2.78
Both teams scored▼ 33%55%▲ 78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%47%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▲ 44%26%▼ 11%
Goal before half-time▼ 44%74%▲ 78%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%78%• 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / game
1.20
Away goals / game
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defensive advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Mardin BB and Fatih Karagümrük play?

Mardin BB face Fatih Karagümrük on October 15, 2026 in 1. Lig at 21 Kasim Sehir Stadyumu. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mardin BB vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Mardin BB score 1.22 goals per game on average and Fatih Karagümrük 1.44. The 1. Lig average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Mardin BB's matches and 78% of Fatih Karagümrük's.

What form are Mardin BB and Fatih Karagümrük in?

Over the last 5 games Mardin BB have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fatih Karagümrük 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mardin BB vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mardin BB vs Fatih Karagümrük: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.