Mariehamn vs Ilves: match statistics
Mariehamn vs Ilves: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mariehamn played against Ilves in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Wiklöf Holding Arena. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Mariehamn has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Ilves has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Mariehamn scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 1.88. Ilves scores 1.68 and allows 1.52. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Mariehamn's games and 56% of Ilves's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 64%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ilves has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.14 per game. Mariehamn takes 9.5 shots per game, while Ilves takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Mariehamn leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Ilves leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.84 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mariehamn's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For Ilves, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ilves have a slight edge thanks to their more effective attack: away from home, they average 1.67 goals and generate 1.51 xG, while Mariehamn average 0.83 goals and 1.20 xG at home. The visitors also average 4.83 shots on target per away match, compared with 3.58 for the hosts, and Mariehamn have failed to score in 42% of their home games. Both teams have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 9 goals over that period, but Ilves have conceded just 4, compared with 6 for the hosts. The away pick remains cautious, as Ilves have lost 58% of their away matches and concede an average of 2.17 goals in them, giving Mariehamn a genuine chance of picking up points.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Ilves have recorded BTTS in 75% of their away matches and concede an average of 2.17 goals on the road, significantly increasing the chances of Mariehamn finding the net. The hosts score an average of 1.69 goals at home and have failed to score in just 8% of those matches. Ilves also have attacking credentials: they average 1.67 goals away from home, with an xG of 1.51 compared with the 1.53 xG conceded by Mariehamn. However, caution is warranted: Mariehamn have kept a clean sheet in 54% of their home matches, while the hosts’ BTTS rate is only 38%. Even so, the combination of both teams’ effective attacking play and Ilves’ weak away defense gives a moderate edge to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been reached in 69% of Mariehamn matches and as many as 92% of Ilves matches. The hosts score an average of 1.69 goals, while the visitors concede 2.17, increasing the chances of Mariehamn scoring. Ilves average 1.67 goals scored, although Mariehamn concede just 0.92 and keep a clean sheet in 54% of matches, so the outlook for the visitors is more cautious. In their last five matches, both teams averaged 1.8 goals scored, and Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of each team’s matches. The projected total of 3.10 goals supports the selected bet, while the 2.5 and 3.5 lines require greater scoring efficiency and offer a weaker signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Mariehamn have won 62% of their matches, while Ilves have lost 58%, giving the hosts a clear edge in the full-time result forecast. Mariehamn’s chances of taking a lead at the break are supported by an average of 0.85 goals scored in the first half and just 0.38 conceded; Ilves concede an average of 1.42 goals before half-time. The hosts were leading at the break in 46% of their matches, while the visitors were trailing at that stage in 33%. Across full matches, Mariehamn concede an average of 0.92 goals compared with 2.17 for Ilves, making the hosts hold on to their lead the most likely single scenario. However, the risk of a turnaround remains significant, as Ilves have averaged 1.4 goals after the break in their last five matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mariehamn | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ilves is 110% better for: goals scored per game.
0.8 goals / game - Mariehamn · 1.68 goals / game - Ilves
Ilves is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.88 goals / game - Mariehamn · 1.52 goals / game - Ilves
Mariehamn scores in 52% of games (13 of 25 games), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 games).
Ilves scores in 88% of games (22 of 25 games), while Mariehamn keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mariehamn
Over / Under - Ilves
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ilves is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / game - Mariehamn · 1.52 pts / game - Ilves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mariehamn - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 16%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mariehamn
Ilves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Mariehamn | Liga | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.68 | 2.48 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 44% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 30% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 72% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Mariehamn's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses against Ilves. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mariehamn vs Ilves?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Mariehamn 1:1 Ilves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mariehamn and Ilves?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 1, Ilves won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mariehamn vs Ilves?
Mariehamn score 0.80 goals per game on average and Ilves 1.68. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Mariehamn's matches and 56% of Ilves's.
What form are Mariehamn and Ilves in?
Over the last 5 games Mariehamn have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Ilves 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mariehamn vs Ilves?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mariehamn vs Ilves: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.