Mariehamn vs TPS: match statistics
Mariehamn vs TPS: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mariehamn played against TPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on September 12, 2026. Venue: Wiklöf Holding Arena. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Mariehamn has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. TPS has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Mariehamn scores 0.78 goals per game and allows 1.96. TPS scores 1.22 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Mariehamn's games and 52% of TPS's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 43%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
TPS has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.12 per game. Mariehamn takes 9.3 shots per game, while TPS takes 11.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Mariehamn leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. TPS leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mariehamn's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For TPS, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mariehamn sit 12th and have won just 3 of their 22 matches all season, although their recent form has improved: they have recorded 3 wins in their last five games, scoring 8 goals in the process. TPS are higher up in 8th place, with 8 wins and a 28:23 goal difference, while remaining unbeaten across their last five league fixtures and conceding just 3 goals. However, the visitors’ advantage is weakened by their away record, with only 9% of matches ending in victory and as many as 45% drawn; the hosts have an identical draw percentage in away fixtures, at 36%. TPS create more chances on the road, averaging 1.52 xG compared with Mariehamn’s 1.18 at home, but both teams score fewer than a goal per match in these respective settings: 0.91 and 0.82. Mariehamn’s weak defense, allowing 2.10 xG, gives TPS a strong chance of finding the net, but both teams’ high draw tendency and limited scoring efficiency point towards a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - No has a slight edge, as Mariehamn keep a clean sheet in 55% of matches, while TPS fail to score in 36% of games. The hosts concede an average of just 0.82 goals per match, whereas TPS’s scoring rate is only 0.91 goals, despite their average xG reaching 1.52. Mariehamn should create chances against a TPS defense that concedes an average of 1.27 goals and has kept a clean sheet in only 9% of matches, but this does not guarantee a goal for the visitors. Additionally, BTTS occurred in only 20% of the hosts’ last five matches, while TPS conceded just 3 goals during this period, making a scenario in which at least one team fails to score more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals, as Mariehamn’s matches finished below this line in 82% of cases, while the figure for TPS was 73%. Mariehamn concede just 0.82 goals per match on average and keep a clean sheet in 55% of their games, limiting the potential of TPS, who average 0.91 goals scored. The hosts do score 1.64 goals per match, but TPS concede an average of 1.27, so the projected 1.40 goals for Mariehamn remains moderate. In the last 5 matches, Over 2.5 goals landed in only 40% of games for both teams, while the combined projected total of 2.40 goals clearly supports a scenario of no more than three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Mariehamn have a clearly superior overall season record: they win 64% of their matches and average 2.09 points per game, while TPS win just 9% of matches and average 0.73 points. The home side are also more effective in attack, scoring an average of 1.64 goals compared with TPS’s 0.91, while their defense concedes just 0.82 goals per match versus 1.27 for the visitors. Before half-time, Mariehamn have led in 36% of matches and scored an average of 0.82 goals, whereas TPS have found the net only 0.36 times and have been behind at the break in 45% of their appearances. A strong argument for maintaining the lead is the home side’s defense: they keep a clean sheet in 55% of matches, compared with just 9% for TPS. TPS’s form over the last five rounds, unbeaten and conceding only 0.6 goals on average, increases the risk of a draw; however, the most likely scenario remains Mariehamn leading at the break and securing the win at full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mariehamn | TPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mariehamn is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Mariehamn · 1.4 pts / game - TPS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TPS is 56% better for: goals scored per game.
0.78 goals / game - Mariehamn · 1.22 goals / game - TPS
TPS is 96% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.96 goals / game - Mariehamn · 1 goals / game - TPS
Mariehamn scores in 48% of games (11 of 23 games), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 games).
TPS scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 games), while Mariehamn keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mariehamn
Over / Under - TPS
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
TPS is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / game - Mariehamn · 1.09 pts / game - TPS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mariehamn - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
TPS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mariehamn
TPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Mariehamn | Liga | TPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.74 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 49% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 29% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 75% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Mariehamn's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against TPS. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mariehamn vs TPS?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Mariehamn 1:0 TPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mariehamn and TPS?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 0, TPS won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mariehamn vs TPS?
Mariehamn score 0.78 goals per game on average and TPS 1.22. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Mariehamn's matches and 52% of TPS's.
What form are Mariehamn and TPS in?
Over the last 5 games Mariehamn have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and TPS 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mariehamn vs TPS?
The statistical background for Mariehamn vs TPS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.