Mariehamn vs TPS: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Mariehamn vs TPS: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mariehamn plays TPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game is scheduled for September 12, 2026.
Recent form
Mariehamn has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. TPS has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Mariehamn scores 0.77 goals per game and allows 1.95. TPS scores 1.27 and allows 1.05. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 36% of Mariehamn's games and 55% of TPS's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 45%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
TPS has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.13 per game. Mariehamn takes 9.3 shots per game, while TPS takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Mariehamn leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.41 goals per game after halftime. TPS leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mariehamn's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For TPS, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mariehamn | TPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TPS is 65% better for: goals scored per game.
0.77 goals / game - Mariehamn · 1.27 goals / game - TPS
TPS is 86% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.95 goals / game - Mariehamn · 1.05 goals / game - TPS
Mariehamn scores in 45% of games (10 of 22 meczów), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).
TPS scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while Mariehamn keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mariehamn
Over / Under - TPS
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
TPS is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / game - Mariehamn · 1.09 pts / game - TPS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mariehamn - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
TPS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mariehamn
TPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Mariehamn | Liga | TPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.73 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 49% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 46% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 29% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 73% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Mariehamn's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against TPS. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Mariehamn and TPS play?
Mariehamn face TPS on September 12, 2026 in Veikkausliiga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mariehamn and TPS?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 0, TPS won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mariehamn vs TPS?
Mariehamn score 0.77 goals per game on average and TPS 1.27. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Mariehamn's matches and 55% of TPS's.
What form are Mariehamn and TPS in?
Over the last 5 games Mariehamn have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and TPS 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mariehamn vs TPS?
The statistical background for Mariehamn vs TPS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


