Marines vs Gicumbi: match statistics
Marines display solid home form with a 56% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +4 at their own stadium. The hosts maintain defensive efficiency, conceding an average of only 0.78 goals per match at home, with a 44% clean sheet rate. Gicumbi, on the other hand, perform significantly worse on the road, with only a 33% win rate and a high loss ratio (56%), conceding an average of 1.44 goals per away match. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts - Marines average 1 point per match, while Gicumbi only 0.8 points. Additionally, the visitors struggle to score away from home (44% of matches without a goal), which, combined with Marines' solid defense, gives the hosts a clear advantage. All key indicators, including xG, possession, and efficiency, point to a Marines victory.
Marines vs Gicumbi: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Marines played against Gicumbi in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Marines has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Gicumbi has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Marines scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 0.95. Gicumbi scores 1.21 and allows 1.58. Games in this league average 2.04 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Marines's games and 63% of Gicumbi's. The Over 2.5 rates are 32% and 53%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Marines has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.08 per game. Marines takes 8.0 shots per game, while Gicumbi takes 6.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Marines leads at halftime in 47% of its games and scores 0.53 goals per game after halftime. Gicumbi leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.53 after halftime.
When the teams score
Marines's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Gicumbi, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 2.04 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Marines display solid home form with a 56% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +4 at their own stadium. The hosts maintain defensive efficiency, conceding an average of only 0.78 goals per match at home, with a 44% clean sheet rate. Gicumbi, on the other hand, perform significantly worse on the road, with only a 33% win rate and a high loss ratio (56%), conceding an average of 1.44 goals per away match. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts - Marines average 1 point per match, while Gicumbi only 0.8 points. Additionally, the visitors struggle to score away from home (44% of matches without a goal), which, combined with Marines' solid defense, gives the hosts a clear advantage. All key indicators, including xG, possession, and efficiency, point to a Marines victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Marines | Gicumbi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.54 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Marines is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Marines · 0.8 pts / game - Gicumbi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gicumbi is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - Marines · 1.21 goals / game - Gicumbi
Marines is 66% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.95 goals / game - Marines · 1.58 goals / game - Gicumbi
Marines scores in 79% of games (15 of 19 meczów), while Gicumbi keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).
Gicumbi scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 meczów), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Marines
Over / Under - Gicumbi
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Marines is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / game - Marines · 1.21 pts / game - Gicumbi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marines - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 42%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Gicumbi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Marines
Gicumbi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Marines | Liga | Gicumbi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.05 | 2.04 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | • 42% | 41% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 34% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | • 37% | 36% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 63% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | • 68% | 68% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Marines's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Gicumbi. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Marines vs Gicumbi?
The National Soccer League match finished Marines 1:1 Gicumbi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Marines vs Gicumbi?
Marines score 1.11 goals per game on average and Gicumbi 1.21. The National Soccer League average is 2.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Marines's matches and 63% of Gicumbi's.
What form are Marines and Gicumbi in?
Over the last 5 games Marines have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Gicumbi 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marines vs Gicumbi?
The statistical background for Marines vs Gicumbi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.