Marines vs Mukura: match statistics
Marines display solid home form with 45% wins and only 18% losses at their own stadium, which gives them a significant advantage over the visitors. The hosts show better attacking efficiency in home matches (1.27 goals on average) than Mukura away (0.93 goals on average), as well as a better shot conversion rate (17% vs 14%). Mukura has a weaker away record with 36% losses and only 29% wins, which is confirmed by a negative goal difference (-3) in away matches. Marines also boast a positive goal difference (+4) in home games and a higher percentage of clean sheets (36% vs 21%). Considering the hosts' advantage in key home statistics and Mukura's weaker away form, the most likely scenario is a Marines win, although a draw is also possible due to even possession (46% vs 48%) and similar xG values for both teams.
Marines vs Mukura: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Marines played against Mukura in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Marines has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Mukura has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Marines scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.17. Mukura scores 1.08 and allows 0.96. Games in this league average 2.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Marines's games and 54% of Mukura's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 29%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Marines has the higher season xG average, 1.20 to 1.06 per game. Marines takes 7.3 shots per game, while Mukura takes 5.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Marines leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Mukura leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Marines's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). For Mukura, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 2.08 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Marines display solid home form with 45% wins and only 18% losses at their own stadium, which gives them a significant advantage over the visitors. The hosts show better attacking efficiency in home matches (1.27 goals on average) than Mukura away (0.93 goals on average), as well as a better shot conversion rate (17% vs 14%). Mukura has a weaker away record with 36% losses and only 29% wins, which is confirmed by a negative goal difference (-3) in away matches. Marines also boast a positive goal difference (+4) in home games and a higher percentage of clean sheets (36% vs 21%). Considering the hosts' advantage in key home statistics and Mukura's weaker away form, the most likely scenario is a Marines win, although a draw is also possible due to even possession (46% vs 48%) and similar xG values for both teams.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Marines | Mukura | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.59 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mukura is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Marines · 1.4 pts / game - Mukura
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marines is 16% better for: goals scored per game.
1.25 goals / game - Marines · 1.08 goals / game - Mukura
Mukura is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Marines · 0.96 goals / game - Mukura
Marines scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 meczów), while Mukura keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 meczów).
Mukura scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 meczów), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Marines
Over / Under - Mukura
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Marines is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.79 pts / game - Marines · 1.25 pts / game - Mukura
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marines - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 38%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Mukura - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Marines
Mukura
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Marines | Liga | Mukura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.42 | 2.08 | • 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 46% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 35% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 34% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 70% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MarinesGoalTaïba Mbonyumwami
- MarinesGoalTaïba Mbonyumwami
Head-to-head
Record from Marines's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Mukura. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Marines vs Mukura?
The National Soccer League match finished Marines 3:1 Mukura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Marines vs Mukura?
Marines score 1.25 goals per game on average and Mukura 1.08. The National Soccer League average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Marines's matches and 54% of Mukura's.
What form are Marines and Mukura in?
Over the last 5 games Marines have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Mukura 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marines vs Mukura?
The statistical background for Marines vs Mukura — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.