Mārupe vs Super Nova II: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Mārupe vs Super Nova II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mārupe plays Super Nova II in 1. Liga (Latvia). The game is scheduled for August 15, 2026.
Recent form
Mārupe has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Super Nova II has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Mārupe scores 1.63 goals per game and allows 1.56. Super Nova II scores 1.44 and allows 1.44. Games in this league average 3.58 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Mārupe's games and 63% of Super Nova II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 44%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 69% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mārupe has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.13 per game. Mārupe takes 9.8 shots per game, while Super Nova II takes 7.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Mārupe leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 1.25 goals per game after halftime. Super Nova II leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mārupe's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Super Nova II, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Liga games average 3.58 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 69% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mārupe | Super Nova II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mārupe is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Mārupe · 1 pts / game - Super Nova II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mārupe is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.63 goals / game - Mārupe · 1.44 goals / game - Super Nova II
Super Nova II is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.56 goals / game - Mārupe · 1.44 goals / game - Super Nova II
Mārupe scores in 75% of games (12 of 16 meczów), while Super Nova II keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 meczów).
Super Nova II scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 meczów), while Mārupe keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mārupe
Over / Under - Super Nova II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Super Nova II is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Mārupe · 1.69 pts / game - Super Nova II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mārupe - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Super Nova II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 38%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mārupe
Super Nova II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Mārupe | Liga | Super Nova II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.19 | 3.58 | ▼ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 63% | • 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 21% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 86% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Mārupe's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Super Nova II. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
When do Mārupe and Super Nova II play?
Mārupe face Super Nova II on August 15, 2026 in 1. Liga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mārupe vs Super Nova II?
Mārupe score 1.63 goals per game on average and Super Nova II 1.44. The 1. Liga average is 3.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mārupe's matches and 63% of Super Nova II's.
What form are Mārupe and Super Nova II in?
Over the last 5 games Mārupe have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Super Nova II 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mārupe vs Super Nova II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


