Masr vs Pharco: match statistics
Masr vs Pharco: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Masr played against Pharco in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The game was played on April 28, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Masr has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Pharco has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Masr scores 1.08 goals per game and allows 0.88. Pharco scores 0.46 and allows 1.12. Games in this league average 1.98 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Masr's games and 31% of Pharco's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 12%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Masr has the higher season xG average, 1.26 to 1.13 per game. Masr takes 11.0 shots per game, while Pharco takes 9.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Masr leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.54 goals per game after halftime. Pharco leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.27 after halftime.
When the teams score
Masr's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Pharco, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Egyptian Premier League games average 1.98 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win; Masr has 9 wins and 28 goals this season, while Pharco has only 3 wins and 12 goals, indicating a clear seasonal advantage. Masr averages 0.92 goals scored and concedes only 0.67 goals per home match, whereas Pharco averages 0.54 goals scored and concedes 1.38 on the road, so the home defense is clearly stronger. The hosts also create more quality chances: 4.42 shots on target per match and average xG 1.32 at home versus Pharco’s 2.69 shots on target and xG 1.08 away. In the last 5 matches both teams average 0.8 points per game, but Masr scored 6 and conceded 7, while Pharco scored 3 and conceded 6, which points to greater efficiency from the hosts in chance conversion. Additionally, Masr has clean sheets in 50% of home matches versus Pharco’s 15% away, and Pharco failed to score in 54% of away games (Masr only 25%), therefore I assess probabilities as 65% home win, 20% draw and 15% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonally both teams score very little: Masr averages 0.38 goals per game, Pharco 0.54 (0.92 combined), and the season BTTS rate is only 23% for Masr and 38% for Pharco (below the league average of 46%). Pharco concedes more (1.38 per game) than Masr (0.85), but Masr has a clean sheet expected in 38% of matches, which lowers the chance of Goal/Goal. Although xG indicates some potential (xG_for 1.19 for Masr and 1.08 for Pharco), xG_against are 1.4 and 1.54, and low shot conversion (4% and 6%) means that potential rarely converts into actual goals. In the last 5 matches Masr had BTTS - Yes in 80% (scored 6 and conceded 7, averages 1.2 and 1.4), Pharco 40% (3 scored, 6 conceded, averages 0.6 and 1.2), which gives a mixed short-term signal, but the dominant weight of season-long stats leans against BTTS. Given the very low seasonal goal averages and poor shot conversion, I assess No Goal (BTTS - No) as more likely: 70% vs 30%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Masr averages 0.38 goals at home this season, while Pharco averages 0.54 away, totaling 0.92 goals per match; additionally shot conversion is low (Masr 4%, Pharco 6%), so actual goals are below xG (xG: 1.19 for Masr and 1.08 for Pharco). The strongest signal is percentages over 2.5: Masr 8% and Pharco 15%, with under 2.5 in 92% and 85% of matches respectively – a strong argument for Under 2.5. In the last 5 matches Masr has improved (avg. 1.2 goals in the last 5), which raises expectations slightly, but the combined form analysis and low conversion lead to an expected ~0.85 goals for the home side and 0.70 for the visitors (total 1.55). With that distribution I assess the probability of Under 2.5 at about 80%, therefore I recommend a bet on Under 2.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely half-time state is a draw: Masr had a draw at half-time in 54% of matches, and the home side kept a clean sheet at the break in 77% of their home games, suggesting frequent 0:0 half-time scores. The full-time signal also favors a draw: Masr scores an average of 0.38 goals per game versus Pharco’s 0.54, and xG is 1.19 versus 1.08, indicating limited and similar scoring potential for both teams. Additionally, Masr holds a slight home advantage in points and results (0.92 points per game and 15% home wins vs 0.62 points and 8% away wins for Pharco), so a draw is more likely than a clear away victory. Pharco more often plays matches with both teams scoring (38% vs 23% for Masr), which gives moderate chances of a turnaround after the break, but the strongest signal from the data remains draw at half-time and draw at full-time (X/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Masr | Pharco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Masr is 135% better for: goals scored per game.
1.08 goals / game - Masr · 0.46 goals / game - Pharco
Masr is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.88 goals / game - Masr · 1.12 goals / game - Pharco
Masr scores in 77% of games (20 of 26 meczów), while Pharco keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 meczów).
Pharco scores in 38% of games (10 of 26 meczów), while Masr keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Masr
Over / Under - Pharco
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Masr is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - Masr · 0.96 pts / game - Pharco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Masr - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Pharco - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 12%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Masr
Pharco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Masr | Liga | Pharco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.96 | 1.98 | ▼ 1.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 46% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 35% | 33% | ▼ 12% |
| Clean sheets | • 35% | 35% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 57% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | • 69% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Masr's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Pharco. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Masr vs Pharco?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Masr 1:0 Pharco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Masr vs Pharco?
Masr score 1.08 goals per game on average and Pharco 0.46. The Egyptian Premier League average is 1.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Masr's matches and 31% of Pharco's.
What form are Masr and Pharco in?
Over the last 5 games Masr have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Pharco 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Masr vs Pharco?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Masr vs Pharco: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


