Mathare United vs Leopards: match statistics
Leopards are displaying significantly better form and statistics this season. The away team has amassed 12 wins with only 3 defeats, and their goal difference stands at an impressive +16 (30 scored, 14 conceded). In their last five matches, Leopards have won four games undefeated, averaging 2.6 points per match. Mathare United, on the other hand, is in a crisis – with just 7 wins against 11 losses this season and a negative goal difference. The home side's form is particularly concerning, with a 64% loss rate and only a 36% win rate at their own stadium. Leopards win 50% of their away matches and keep a clean sheet in 58% of cases, which, combined with Mathare's weak attack (averaging 0.91 goals at home), gives them a clear advantage. All key indicators, including xG, possession, and efficiency, point towards an away victory.
Mathare United vs Leopards: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mathare United played against Leopards in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Mathare United has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Leopards has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Mathare United scores 0.74 goals per game and allows 0.96. Leopards scores 1.35 and allows 0.61. Games in this league average 2.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 35% of Mathare United's games and 39% of Leopards's. The Over 2.5 rates are 22% and 35%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mathare United has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.40 per game. Mathare United takes 12.0 shots per game, while Leopards takes 8.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Mathare United leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.17 goals per game after halftime. Leopards leads at halftime in 4% and scores 0.39 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mathare United's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). For Leopards, it is minutes 0-15 (20 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 2.07 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leopards are displaying significantly better form and statistics this season. The away team has amassed 12 wins with only 3 defeats, and their goal difference stands at an impressive +16 (30 scored, 14 conceded). In their last five matches, Leopards have won four games undefeated, averaging 2.6 points per match. Mathare United, on the other hand, is in a crisis – with just 7 wins against 11 losses this season and a negative goal difference. The home side's form is particularly concerning, with a 64% loss rate and only a 36% win rate at their own stadium. Leopards win 50% of their away matches and keep a clean sheet in 58% of cases, which, combined with Mathare's weak attack (averaging 0.91 goals at home), gives them a clear advantage. All key indicators, including xG, possession, and efficiency, point towards an away victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mathare United | Leopards | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Leopards is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Mathare United · 2 pts / game - Leopards
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leopards is 82% better for: goals scored per game.
0.74 goals / game - Mathare United · 1.35 goals / game - Leopards
Leopards is 57% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.96 goals / game - Mathare United · 0.61 goals / game - Leopards
Mathare United scores in 61% of games (14 of 23 meczów), while Leopards keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 meczów).
Leopards scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mathare United
Over / Under - Leopards
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mathare United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Leopards - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 4% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (20 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mathare United
Leopards
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mathare United | Liga | Leopards | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.70 | 2.07 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 34% | • 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 33% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 30% | 25% | ▲ 30% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Mathare United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Leopards. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mathare United vs Leopards?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Mathare United 4:1 Leopards. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mathare United vs Leopards?
Mathare United score 0.74 goals per game on average and Leopards 1.35. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Mathare United's matches and 39% of Leopards's.
What form are Mathare United and Leopards in?
Over the last 5 games Mathare United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Leopards 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mathare United vs Leopards?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.