Mathare United vs TransMara Sugar: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mathare United play TransMara Sugar in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 6 December 2025 at 11:00. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Mathare United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. TransMara Sugar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mathare United scores 0.89 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. TransMara Sugar scores 0.93 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.01 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mathare United 36%, TransMara Sugar 39%. Over 2.5: Mathare United 29%, TransMara Sugar 29%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.

xG, shots and style

TransMara Sugar has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.46. Mathare United: 11.6 shots per match, TransMara Sugar: 11.3.

Match halves

Mathare United: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.14. TransMara Sugar: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.21.

Goals by minute

Mathare United: 0-15 (19 goals). TransMara Sugar: 0-15 (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
51Shots31
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
6Shots on target5
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
4.18xG2.75
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
7Corners6
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
79Dangerous attacks62
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
-1Fouls-1
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
-1Cards-1
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
0.89Goals scored / match0.93
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
0.96Goals conceded / match0.89
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
50%Average possession44%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
3.25Shots on target / match2.68
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.64Shots per match11.25
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
3.25Shots on target2.68
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
7.7%Shot conversion8.3%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
50%Possession44%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
1.46xG for1.54
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
1.49xG against1.51
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar

Shooting quality

Mathare United: BalancedTransMara Sugar: Balanced
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
Accuracy (shots on target)28%24%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mathare United
WDDLW
Season result split
32% W25% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-7-12
1.21 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-7
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
TransMara Sugar
DDLWW
Season result split
29% W46% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-13-7
1.32 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-9-2
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DDDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

TransMara Sugar is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.96 goals / match - Mathare United · 0.89 goals / match - TransMara Sugar

Mathare United scoring profile: mixed

Mathare United scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).

TransMara Sugar scoring profile: mixed

TransMara Sugar scores in 57% of matches (16 of 28 matches), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).

25Goals scored (season)26
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
27Goals conceded (season)25
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
1.86Average goals in match1.82
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
8Goals scored (last 5)2
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
5Goals conceded (last 5)1
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal57%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
14%2 goals29%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
11%3 goals7%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
4%4 goals0%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal61%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
29%2 goals18%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
4%3 goals11%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
0%4 goals0%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time4%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
0%Scored in both halves4%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
40%BTTS - last 50%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

18%Min. 1 goal before half-time11%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time7%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar

2nd half

25%Min. 1 goal after half-time21%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
21%Min. 2 goals after half-time7%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mathare United is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.04 pts / match - Mathare United · 0.93 pts / match - TransMara Sugar

Mathare United - half-time state
7% leading82% draw11% trailing
TransMara Sugar - half-time state
0% leading93% draw7% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.04Points per match (1st half)0.93
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
0.07Goals scored (1st half)0.04
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
0.11Goals conceded (1st half)0.14
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
0.18Average goals (1st half)0.18
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
89%Clean sheet before half-time89%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
93%No goal before half-time96%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar

After half-time (2nd half)

0.93Points per match (2nd half)1.14
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
0.14Goals scored (2nd half)0.21
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
0.32Goals conceded (2nd half)0.14
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
0.46Average goals (2nd half)0.36
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
79%Clean sheet after half-time89%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar
89%No goal after half-time86%
Mathare UnitedTransMara Sugar

Mathare United - second-half results

4% W82% R14% P
29
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding457%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

TransMara Sugar - second-half results

11% W82% R7% P
26
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mathare United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.00.0
1 goal0%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
TransMara Sugar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.00.0
1 goal0%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mathare United
ScoredConceded
19
15
0-15
0
3
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (19 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

TransMara Sugar
ScoredConceded
20
18
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (20 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mathare United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
4% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 76% come in the first quarter-hour.
4%

TransMara Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.61
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.62
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 77% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

Mathare UnitedLigaTransMara Sugar
Average goals in match 1.862.01 1.82
Both teams scored 36%43% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%33% 29%
Clean sheets 36%36% 39%
Goal before half-time 18%21% 11%
Goal after half-time 25%22% 21%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.01
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
36%
Clean sheets
1.02
Home goals / match
0.99
Away goals / match
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defence advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
21%
1 goal
8%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
22%
1 goal
11%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Mathare United vs TransMara Sugar?

The Kenyan Premier League match finished Mathare United 0:1 TransMara Sugar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mathare United vs TransMara Sugar?

Mathare United score 0.89 goals per game on average and TransMara Sugar 0.93. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Mathare United's matches and 39% of TransMara Sugar's.

What form are Mathare United and TransMara Sugar in?

Over the last 5 games Mathare United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and TransMara Sugar 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mathare United vs TransMara Sugar?

The statistical background for Mathare United vs TransMara Sugar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.