Mbarara City vs Calvary: match statistics
Despite a lower table position, Mbarara City clearly outperforms Calvary in terms of form and efficiency. The hosts have a -2 goal difference at home, whereas the visitors concede an average of 2.13 goals away while scoring only 0.38, resulting in a disastrous -14 balance. Calvary has not won a single away match this season (0% success rate) and has failed to score in 75% of away fixtures. Mbarara boasts better xG statistics (1.54 vs 1.12), higher shot efficiency, and superior possession, which, given the visitors' poor disposition, should translate into a home win. The form of both teams in the last five matches also favors Mbarara City, who earned 5 points compared to just 1 point for Calvary.
Mbarara City vs Calvary: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mbarara City played against Calvary in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on February 12, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Mbarara City has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Calvary has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Mbarara City scores 0.87 goals per game and allows 1.67. Calvary scores 0.40 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Mbarara City's games and 27% of Calvary's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 27%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mbarara City has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.22 per game. Mbarara City takes 7.7 shots per game, while Calvary takes 4.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Mbarara City leads at halftime in 7% of its games and scores 0.47 goals per game after halftime. Calvary leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.20 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mbarara City's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Calvary, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.24 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Despite a lower table position, Mbarara City clearly outperforms Calvary in terms of form and efficiency. The hosts have a -2 goal difference at home, whereas the visitors concede an average of 2.13 goals away while scoring only 0.38, resulting in a disastrous -14 balance. Calvary has not won a single away match this season (0% success rate) and has failed to score in 75% of away fixtures. Mbarara boasts better xG statistics (1.54 vs 1.12), higher shot efficiency, and superior possession, which, given the visitors' poor disposition, should translate into a home win. The form of both teams in the last five matches also favors Mbarara City, who earned 5 points compared to just 1 point for Calvary.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mbarara City | Calvary | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mbarara City is 400% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Mbarara City · 0.2 pts / game - Calvary
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mbarara City is 117% better for: goals scored per game.
0.87 goals / game - Mbarara City · 0.4 goals / game - Calvary
Mbarara City scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 meczów).
Calvary scores in 27% of games (4 of 15 meczów), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mbarara City
Over / Under - Calvary
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mbarara City is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / game - Mbarara City · 0.47 pts / game - Calvary
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mbarara City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 7% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Calvary - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mbarara City
Calvary
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mbarara City | Liga | Calvary | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.53 | 2.24 | ▼ 2.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 42% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 39% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 36% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 60% | ▼ 40% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Mbarara City's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Calvary. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mbarara City vs Calvary?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Mbarara City 1:0 Calvary. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mbarara City vs Calvary?
Mbarara City score 0.87 goals per game on average and Calvary 0.40. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Mbarara City's matches and 27% of Calvary's.
What form are Mbarara City and Calvary in?
Over the last 5 games Mbarara City have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Calvary 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mbarara City vs Calvary?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mbarara City vs Calvary: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.