Mbeya City vs Mtibwa Sugar: match statistics
Mbeya City vs Mtibwa Sugar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mbeya City play Mtibwa Sugar in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 13 June 2026 at 13:00. Venue: Sokoine Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Mbeya City: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Mtibwa Sugar: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mbeya City scores 0.78 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.83 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mbeya City 31%, Mtibwa Sugar 50%. Over 2.5: Mbeya City 28%, Mtibwa Sugar 53%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Mtibwa Sugar has higher xG: 1.00 vs 0.99. Mbeya City: 4.7 shots per match, Mtibwa Sugar: 3.5.
Match halves
Mbeya City: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.28. Mtibwa Sugar: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Mbeya City: 16-30 (7 goals). Mtibwa Sugar: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Mbeya City holds a slight home advantage: the hosts average 0.67 goals scored and concede 1.33 goals per home match, while Mtibwa Sugar on the road averages only 0.36 goals scored and concedes 1.45. In terms of chance quality, xG is 0.95 for the hosts versus 0.92 for the visitors, but Mtibwa concedes as much as 1.89 xG against compared to 1.21 for Mbeya, indicating greater defensive vulnerability for the away side. The visitors register more on-target shots away (2.38 vs 1.36), however their conversion rate is just 5% versus the hosts’ 13%, and their percentage of matches without scoring is 64% vs 58%, i.e. Mtibwa’s offensive efficiency is low. In the last 5 matches Mbeya scored 4 and conceded 9, while Mtibwa scored 7 and conceded 12; both teams have 0.8 points per game in that period, reflecting poor form. Considering the better home goal differential, Mbeya’s higher conversion rate and Mtibwa’s lack of away wins (0% wins), I forecast a narrow victory for the hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mbeya City | Mtibwa Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.58 | 0.69 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mtibwa Sugar is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Mbeya City · 0.83 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar
Mbeya City is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Mbeya City · 1.6 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar
Mbeya City scores in 50% of matches (16 of 32 matches), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
Mtibwa Sugar scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mbeya City
Over / Under — Mtibwa Sugar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mbeya City is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Mbeya City · 0.67 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mbeya City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mbeya City
Mtibwa Sugar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Mbeya City | Liga | Mtibwa Sugar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 2.17 | ▲ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 39% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 34% | 39% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 66% | 60% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▲ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mbeya City 0 - 0 - 1 Mtibwa Sugar. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mbeya City vs Mtibwa Sugar?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mbeya City 1:0 Mtibwa Sugar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mbeya City vs Mtibwa Sugar?
Mbeya City score 0.78 goals per game on average and Mtibwa Sugar 0.83. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Mbeya City's matches and 50% of Mtibwa Sugar's.
What form are Mbeya City and Mtibwa Sugar in?
Over the last 5 games Mbeya City have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Mtibwa Sugar 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mbeya City vs Mtibwa Sugar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mbeya City vs Mtibwa Sugar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.