Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema: match statistics
Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mebrat Hayl play Dire Dawa Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 20 May 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Addis Ababa Stadium. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Mebrat Hayl: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Dire Dawa Kenema: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mebrat Hayl scores 0.84 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Dire Dawa Kenema scores 0.68 and concedes 1.11. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mebrat Hayl 37%, Dire Dawa Kenema 39%. Over 2.5: Mebrat Hayl 26%, Dire Dawa Kenema 29%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Mebrat Hayl has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.08. Mebrat Hayl: 7.0 shots per match, Dire Dawa Kenema: 6.7.
Match halves
Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50. Dire Dawa Kenema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (9 goals). Dire Dawa Kenema: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win. Mebrat Hayl is markedly more solid at home — conceding only 0.44 goals per home match versus Dire Dawa Kenema’s 1.13 goals conceded away. The hosts also show better attacking efficiency: average xG 1.06 and shot conversion 14% translate into 0.88 goals per match, while the visitors have xG 0.98, conversion 10% and 0.63 goals on the road. In the last 5 fixtures Mebrat scored 4 goals and averages 0.8 points per game, whereas Dire Dawa managed only 1 goal, 0.4 pts and 3 losses in five matches. Additionally, the hosts keep a clean sheet in 56% of home games, while Dire have only 31% clean sheets away; Mebrat win 44% of home matches versus Dire’s 25% away win rate, confirming the home advantage.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mebrat Hayl | Dire Dawa Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mebrat Hayl is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.4 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mebrat Hayl is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.84 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 0.68 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema
Mebrat Hayl is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.68 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.11 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema
Mebrat Hayl scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Dire Dawa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
Dire Dawa Kenema scores in 50% of matches (19 of 38 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mebrat Hayl
Over / Under — Dire Dawa Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mebrat Hayl is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 0.84 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dire Dawa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mebrat Hayl
Dire Dawa Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mebrat Hayl | Liga | Dire Dawa Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.53 | 1.78 | • 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 40% | • 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 28% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 40% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 56% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mebrat Hayl 0 - 1 - 0 Dire Dawa Kenema. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mebrat Hayl 1:1 Dire Dawa Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
Mebrat Hayl score 0.84 goals per game on average and Dire Dawa Kenema 0.68. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Mebrat Hayl's matches and 39% of Dire Dawa Kenema's.
What form are Mebrat Hayl and Dire Dawa Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Mebrat Hayl have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Dire Dawa Kenema 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.