Mebrat Hayl vs Hadiya Hosaena: match statistics
Mebrat Hayl shows solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +6 at their own stadium; however, their last five overall matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) indicate a dip in form. Hadiya Hosaena has a better points record in the last five games (0.8 PPG vs 0.6 PPG for the hosts) and shows 40% away efficiency, although they record a negative goal difference of -1 on the road. A key factor is the hosts' possession advantage (57% vs 44%) and lower average goals conceded per game at home (0.2 vs 0.8 for the visitors away). Similar xG values for both teams (1.02 for the hosts, 1.02 for the visitors) and a high percentage of draws for Mebrat Hayl in home matches (50%) suggest that splitting the points is the most likely scenario. The hosts' poor goal-scoring form in recent matches (only 1 goal in the last 5 games) further argues for a low-scoring result and a draw.
Mebrat Hayl vs Hadiya Hosaena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mebrat Hayl play Hadiya Hosaena in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 27 February 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Mebrat Hayl: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Hadiya Hosaena: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mebrat Hayl scores 0.84 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.82 and concedes 0.92. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mebrat Hayl 37%, Hadiya Hosaena 47%. Over 2.5: Mebrat Hayl 26%, Hadiya Hosaena 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Mebrat Hayl has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.04. Mebrat Hayl: 7.0 shots per match, Hadiya Hosaena: 6.1.
Match halves
Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50. Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (9 goals). Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Mebrat Hayl shows solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +6 at their own stadium; however, their last five overall matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) indicate a dip in form. Hadiya Hosaena has a better points record in the last five games (0.8 PPG vs 0.6 PPG for the hosts) and shows 40% away efficiency, although they record a negative goal difference of -1 on the road. A key factor is the hosts' possession advantage (57% vs 44%) and lower average goals conceded per game at home (0.2 vs 0.8 for the visitors away). Similar xG values for both teams (1.02 for the hosts, 1.02 for the visitors) and a high percentage of draws for Mebrat Hayl in home matches (50%) suggest that splitting the points is the most likely scenario. The hosts' poor goal-scoring form in recent matches (only 1 goal in the last 5 games) further argues for a low-scoring result and a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mebrat Hayl | Hadiya Hosaena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mebrat Hayl is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.2 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mebrat Hayl is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.68 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 0.92 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Mebrat Hayl scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mebrat Hayl
Over / Under — Hadiya Hosaena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mebrat Hayl is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.08 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mebrat Hayl
Hadiya Hosaena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mebrat Hayl | Liga | Hadiya Hosaena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.53 | 1.78 | • 1.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 40% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 40% | ▼ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mebrat Hayl 0 - 1 - 0 Hadiya Hosaena. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mebrat Hayl vs Hadiya Hosaena?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mebrat Hayl 0:1 Hadiya Hosaena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mebrat Hayl vs Hadiya Hosaena?
Mebrat Hayl score 0.84 goals per game on average and Hadiya Hosaena 0.82. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Mebrat Hayl's matches and 47% of Hadiya Hosaena's.
What form are Mebrat Hayl and Hadiya Hosaena in?
Over the last 5 games Mebrat Hayl have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Hadiya Hosaena 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mebrat Hayl vs Hadiya Hosaena?
The statistical background for Mebrat Hayl vs Hadiya Hosaena — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.