Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelle Kenema: match statistics
Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelle Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mebrat Hayl play Mekelle Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 16 June 2026 at 12:00. Venue: Addis Ababa Stadium. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Mebrat Hayl: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Mekelle Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mebrat Hayl scores 0.84 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Mekelle Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 0.95. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mebrat Hayl 37%, Mekelle Kenema 37%. Over 2.5: Mebrat Hayl 26%, Mekelle Kenema 34%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Mebrat Hayl has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.10. Mebrat Hayl: 7.0 shots per match, Mekelle Kenema: 6.4.
Match halves
Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50. Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (9 goals). Mekelle Kenema: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Mebrat Hayl sits 6th in the table while Mekelle Kenema are 18th; the hosts have 11 wins this season versus the visitors’ 7, giving Mebrat a clear seasonal advantage. In terms of goals scored the teams are similar (Mebrat 28, Mekelle 27), but in the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 6 goals while the visitors only 2, and Mekelle have failed to score in 59% of away games, indicating weaker offensive form. A strong case for Mebrat is their home defence — they concede only 0.47 goals per home match on average and keep 53% clean sheets, whereas Mekelle concede 0.76 on the road and have 47% clean sheets. Chance quality measured by xG is practically equal (home xG for Mebrat 1.05 vs away xG for Mekelle 1.04), but the hosts are more efficient (conversion 14% vs 11%) and register slightly more on-target shots 2.25 vs 2.12. Although over the last 5 matches Mebrat average 0.8 points per game versus the visitors’ 1.0, the table advantage, better win record (11 vs 7), superior defence and higher efficiency favor the home side; I give them a 55% chance to win, 30% for a draw and 15% for Mekelle.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mebrat Hayl | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mebrat Hayl is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.2 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mebrat Hayl is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
0.84 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 0.79 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema
Mebrat Hayl is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.68 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 0.95 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema
Mebrat Hayl scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
Mekelle Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mebrat Hayl
Over / Under — Mekelle Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mebrat Hayl is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.16 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mebrat Hayl
Mekelle Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mebrat Hayl | Liga | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.53 | 1.78 | • 1.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 40% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▲ 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 40% | • 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 56% | • 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mebrat Hayl 0 - 0 - 1 Mekelle Kenema. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelle Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mebrat Hayl 0:0 Mekelle Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelle Kenema?
Mebrat Hayl score 0.84 goals per game on average and Mekelle Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Mebrat Hayl's matches and 37% of Mekelle Kenema's.
What form are Mebrat Hayl and Mekelle Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Mebrat Hayl have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Mekelle Kenema 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelle Kenema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.