Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueAddis Ababa StadiumData current as of October 14, 2026

Mebrat Hayl vs Negele Arsi Ketema: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Mebrat Hayl vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Mebrat Hayl plays Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game is scheduled for October 16, 2026. Venue: Addis Ababa Stadium.

Recent form

Mebrat Hayl has 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Negele Arsi Ketema has 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Mebrat Hayl scores 0.00 goals per game and allows 1.00. Negele Arsi Ketema scores 1.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 1.22 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 0% of Mebrat Hayl's games and 100% of Negele Arsi Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 0%, compared with league averages of 22% for BTTS and 0% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Mebrat Hayl has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.17 per game. Mebrat Hayl takes 11.0 shots per game, while Negele Arsi Ketema takes 9.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Mebrat Hayl leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.00 goals per game after halftime. Negele Arsi Ketema leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Mebrat Hayl's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (0 goals). For Negele Arsi Ketema, it is minutes 61-75 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.22 goals. Both teams score in 22% of games, and 0% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0Goals scored / game1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
1Goals allowed / game1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
56%Average possession51%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
3Shots on target / game2
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11Shots per game9
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
3Shots on target2
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Shot conversion11.1%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
56%Possession51%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
1.39xG for1.17
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
1.04xG against1.42
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

Shooting quality

Mebrat Hayl: BalancedNegele Arsi Ketema: Balanced
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
Accuracy (shots on target)27%22%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.000.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Mebrat Hayl
L
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W0% D100% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-1
0.00 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-1
0.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Negele Arsi Ketema
D
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W100% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-0
1.00 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-0
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mebrat Hayl scoring profile: mixed

Mebrat Hayl scores in 0% of games (0 of 1 games), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 games).

Negele Arsi Ketema scoring profile: very strong

Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 100% of games (1 of 1 games), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 games).

0Goals scored (season)1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
1Goals conceded (season)1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
1Average goals per game2
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0Goals scored (last 5)1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
1Goals conceded (last 5)1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

How often they score at least...

0%1 goal100%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%2 goals0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%2 goals0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

22%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Scored in both halves0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%BTTS - last 5100%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

2nd half

0%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mebrat Hayl - half-time state
0% leading0% draw100% trailing
Negele Arsi Ketema - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0Points per game (1st half)1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0Goals scored (1st half)0
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
1Goals conceded (1st half)0
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
1Average goals (1st half)0
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
100%No goal before half-time100%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0Goals scored (2nd half)1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
0Average goals (2nd half)2
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
100%Clean sheet after half-time0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema
100%No goal after half-time0%
Mebrat HaylNegele Arsi Ketema

Mebrat Hayl - second-half results

0% W100% D0% L
0
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-1.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results

0% W100% D0% L
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+1.0

Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Mebrat Hayl - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.001.00
Goals scored / game0.00.0
Goals allowed / game1.00.0
Average goals per game1.00.0
1 goal100%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet0%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Negele Arsi Ketema - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game0.02.0
1 goal0%100%
2 goals0%100%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Mebrat Hayl
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Negele Arsi Ketema
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.50
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
123%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-33%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
0%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Mebrat Hayl

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
0%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Negele Arsi Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
455%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Mebrat HaylLigaNegele Arsi Ketema
Average goals per game▼ 1.001.22▲ 2.00
Both teams scored▼ 0%22%▲ 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 0%0%• 0%
Clean sheets▼ 0%44%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%44%▼ 0%
Goal after half-time▼ 0%56%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.22
Average goals per game
22%
Both teams scored
0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
44%
Clean sheets
0.22
Home goals / game
1.00
Away goals / game
+-78%
Home attack advantage
+-355%
Home defensive advantage
+-67%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
44%
1 goal
0%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Mebrat Hayl's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Negele Arsi Ketema. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Negele Arsi Ketema
0 : 2
Mebrat Hayl
Mebrat Hayl
0 : 0
Negele Arsi Ketema

FAQ

When do Mebrat Hayl and Negele Arsi Ketema play?

Mebrat Hayl face Negele Arsi Ketema on October 16, 2026 in Ethiopia Premier League at Addis Ababa Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Mebrat Hayl and Negele Arsi Ketema?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mebrat Hayl won 1, Negele Arsi Ketema won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Mebrat Hayl vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

Mebrat Hayl score 0.00 goals per game on average and Negele Arsi Ketema 1.00. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 0% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Mebrat Hayl's matches and 100% of Negele Arsi Ketema's.

What form are Mebrat Hayl and Negele Arsi Ketema in?

Over the last 5 games Mebrat Hayl have a 0-0-1 record (0.00 points per game) and Negele Arsi Ketema 0-1-0 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mebrat Hayl vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mebrat Hayl vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.