Mekelakeya vs Arba Minch Kenema: match statistics
Mekelakeya vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mekelakeya play Arba Minch Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 28 May 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Addis Ababa Stadium. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Mekelakeya: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mekelakeya scores 1.15 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mekelakeya 41%, Arba Minch Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Mekelakeya 31%, Arba Minch Kenema 29%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.12. Mekelakeya: 8.6 shots per match, Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3.
Match halves
Mekelakeya: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.46. Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (13 goals). Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Mekelakeya sits 3rd in the table (12-15-6) with a 41-26 goal record, while Arba Minch Kenema are 20th (5-14-14) with 25 goals scored and 40 conceded. In the last 5 matches the home side have 2 wins and 3 draws, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (1.8 pts/match); the visitors have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, 4 scored and 6 conceded (1.0 pts/match). At home Mekelakeya concedes only 0.56 goals per game, keep 56% clean sheets and have average xG for 1.29 versus xG against 0.95, while Arba Minch away have xG against 1.20 and concede 0.81 on average, which underlines the hosts’ defensive advantage. Offensively both teams are modest — Mekelakeya at home 0.88 goals from 8.44 shots and 2.94 on target (10% conversion), Arba Minch away 0.94 goals from 7.69 shots and 2.94 on target (12% conversion) — visitors are marginally more efficient but this does not offset their weaker defence. Considering league position, better form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/match), stronger home defence (0.56 vs 0.81 conceded) and higher home xG, I give Mekelakeya the greater chances, while noting a significant draw risk given the hosts’ 50% home draw rate.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelakeya | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arba Minch Kenema is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 1.2 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 0.79 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Mekelakeya is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 1.21 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Mekelakeya scores in 67% of matches (26 of 39 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 46% (18 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mekelakeya
Over / Under — Arba Minch Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 1.05 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mekelakeya
Arba Minch Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelakeya | Liga | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 31% | 28% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 40% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 59% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mekelakeya 1 - 0 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelakeya vs Arba Minch Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelakeya 1:2 Arba Minch Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelakeya vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Mekelakeya score 1.15 goals per game on average and Arba Minch Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Mekelakeya's matches and 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's.
What form are Mekelakeya and Arba Minch Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelakeya have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Arba Minch Kenema 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelakeya vs Arba Minch Kenema?
The statistical background for Mekelakeya vs Arba Minch Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.