Mekelakeya vs Bahardar: match statistics
Mekelakeya occupies a higher position in the table (5th place) and possesses a better goal difference at their own stadium (+1) compared to Bahardar, who have a negative goal difference in away matches (-3). The hosts demonstrate significantly better scoring efficiency at home (0.86 goals/match) and a higher xG (1.42) than the guests do on the road (0.33 goals/match and xG 1.06). Bahardar has not won a single away match this season (0% wins) and has failed to score in as many as 67% of matches. The form of both teams in the last five matches is poor; however, Mekelakeya holds home field advantage and better offensive stats. Bahardar's high percentage of away draws (67%) suggests a defensive approach, which could lead to a close contest, but the statistical advantage of the hosts points to their victory.
Mekelakeya vs Bahardar: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mekelakeya played against Bahardar in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 10, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Mekelakeya has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Bahardar has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Mekelakeya scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 0.93. Bahardar scores 0.69 and allows 0.69. Games in this league average 1.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Mekelakeya's games and 31% of Bahardar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 23%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelakeya has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.25 per game. Mekelakeya takes 9.6 shots per game, while Bahardar takes 8.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Mekelakeya leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.29 goals per game after halftime. Bahardar leads at halftime in 8% and scores 0.46 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mekelakeya's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Bahardar, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.71 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mekelakeya occupies a higher position in the table (5th place) and possesses a better goal difference at their own stadium (+1) compared to Bahardar, who have a negative goal difference in away matches (-3). The hosts demonstrate significantly better scoring efficiency at home (0.86 goals/match) and a higher xG (1.42) than the guests do on the road (0.33 goals/match and xG 1.06). Bahardar has not won a single away match this season (0% wins) and has failed to score in as many as 67% of matches. The form of both teams in the last five matches is poor; however, Mekelakeya holds home field advantage and better offensive stats. Bahardar's high percentage of away draws (67%) suggests a defensive approach, which could lead to a close contest, but the statistical advantage of the hosts points to their victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelakeya | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mekelakeya is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Mekelakeya · 0.8 pts / game - Bahardar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 87% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - Mekelakeya · 0.69 goals / game - Bahardar
Bahardar is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.93 goals / game - Mekelakeya · 0.69 goals / game - Bahardar
Mekelakeya scores in 71% of games (10 of 14 meczów), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 62% (8 of 13 meczów).
Bahardar scores in 46% of games (6 of 13 meczów), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
Over / Under - Bahardar
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / game - Mekelakeya · 1.08 pts / game - Bahardar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 36%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mekelakeya
Bahardar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelakeya | Liga | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.21 | 1.71 | ▼ 1.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 26% | ▼ 23% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 36% | 39% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal after half-time | • 57% | 57% | ▼ 46% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelakeya 1:2 Bahardar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?
Mekelakeya score 1.29 goals per game on average and Bahardar 0.69. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mekelakeya's matches and 31% of Bahardar's.
What form are Mekelakeya and Bahardar in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelakeya have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bahardar 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelakeya vs Bahardar?
The statistical background for Mekelakeya vs Bahardar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.