Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced encounter with an advantage for the draw scenario. Although Mekelakeya occupies a higher position in the table (6th place), their recent form raises concerns – only 1 victory in the last 5 matches and just 1 point per game. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+1), but a high percentage of draws in home matches (36%) and a Failed To Score rate of 45% suggest finishing problems. Welwalo Adigrat Uni displays better form in recent matches (1.6 points per game, 2 wins from the last 5), and their high percentage of draws away (45%) along with a balanced xG ratio (1.05 to 1.11) indicate defensive stability. Both teams have an identical average of goals scored at their home grounds (0.82), which further advocates for a share of the points. Considering the hosts' poor form and the visitors' growing confidence, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this match.
Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mekelakeya play Welwalo Adigrat Uni in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 8 March 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Mekelakeya: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mekelakeya scores 1.15 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.82 and concedes 0.97. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mekelakeya 41%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 46%. Over 2.5: Mekelakeya 31%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 31%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.03. Mekelakeya: 8.6 shots per match, Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.7.
Match halves
Mekelakeya: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.46. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (13 goals). Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced encounter with an advantage for the draw scenario. Although Mekelakeya occupies a higher position in the table (6th place), their recent form raises concerns – only 1 victory in the last 5 matches and just 1 point per game. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+1), but a high percentage of draws in home matches (36%) and a Failed To Score rate of 45% suggest finishing problems. Welwalo Adigrat Uni displays better form in recent matches (1.6 points per game, 2 wins from the last 5), and their high percentage of draws away (45%) along with a balanced xG ratio (1.05 to 1.11) indicate defensive stability. Both teams have an identical average of goals scored at their home grounds (0.82), which further advocates for a share of the points. Considering the hosts' poor form and the visitors' growing confidence, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelakeya | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 1.2 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 0.82 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Mekelakeya is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 0.97 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Mekelakeya scores in 67% of matches (26 of 39 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 59% of matches (23 of 39 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 46% (18 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mekelakeya
Over / Under — Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 1.21 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mekelakeya
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelakeya | Liga | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.78 | • 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 40% | ▲ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 40% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 59% | ▼ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mekelakeya 2 - 0 - 0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelakeya 0:0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mekelakeya and Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mekelakeya won 2, Welwalo Adigrat Uni won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Mekelakeya score 1.15 goals per game on average and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.82. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Mekelakeya's matches and 46% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's.
What form are Mekelakeya and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelakeya have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The statistical background for Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.