Mekelle Kenema vs Bahardar: match statistics
Mekelle Kenema vs Bahardar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mekelle Kenema play Bahardar in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 30 May 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Tigray Stadium. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Mekelle Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Bahardar: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mekelle Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Bahardar scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mekelle Kenema 37%, Bahardar 32%. Over 2.5: Mekelle Kenema 34%, Bahardar 18%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Bahardar has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.10. Mekelle Kenema: 6.4 shots per match, Bahardar: 8.3.
Match halves
Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42. Bahardar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Mekelle Kenema: 46-60 (9 goals). Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X) as the most likely outcome due to the high draw rates for both teams: Mekelle Kenema has 50% draws at home, and Bahardar has 50% draws away. Bahardar is notably stronger defensively on the road — they concede on average 0.63 goals per away match and keep a clean sheet in 56% of games, whereas Mekelle concedes 1.25 goals at home and has only a 19% clean sheet rate. Offensively, the hosts are marginally more efficient at home (avg. 3 shots on target, 16% conversion rate, avg. 1.00 goal and xG 1.17), while the visitors score on average 0.81 goals away with xG 1.13, indicating similar attacking potential. Form favors the visitors — Mekelle’s last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses (avg. 1.0 pt/match), while Bahardar are unbeaten in their last 5 (2 wins, 3 draws, avg. 1.8 pts/match). Therefore I expect a low-scoring draw or a narrow away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelle Kenema | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mekelle Kenema is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema · 0.6 pts / match - Bahardar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelle Kenema is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema · 0.74 goals / match - Bahardar
Bahardar is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema · 0.74 goals / match - Bahardar
Mekelle Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).
Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mekelle Kenema
Over / Under — Bahardar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelle Kenema is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema · 1 pts / match - Bahardar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mekelle Kenema
Bahardar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelle Kenema | Liga | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.74 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 40% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 34% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | • 39% | 40% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | • 55% | 56% | ▼ 39% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mekelle Kenema 0 - 1 - 0 Bahardar. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelle Kenema vs Bahardar?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelle Kenema 0:0 Bahardar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelle Kenema vs Bahardar?
Mekelle Kenema score 0.79 goals per game on average and Bahardar 0.74. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Mekelle Kenema's matches and 32% of Bahardar's.
What form are Mekelle Kenema and Bahardar in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelle Kenema have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Bahardar 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelle Kenema vs Bahardar?
The statistical background for Mekelle Kenema vs Bahardar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.