Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin: match statistics
Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mekelle Kenema play Ethiopian Medhin in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 15 May 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Mekelle Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ethiopian Medhin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mekelle Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.78 and concedes 0.84. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mekelle Kenema 37%, Ethiopian Medhin 43%. Over 2.5: Mekelle Kenema 34%, Ethiopian Medhin 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopian Medhin has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.10. Mekelle Kenema: 6.4 shots per match, Ethiopian Medhin: 7.3.
Match halves
Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42. Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Mekelle Kenema: 46-60 (9 goals). Ethiopian Medhin: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Ethiopian Medhin are slight favorites based on the statistics: they sit 15th in the table versus Mekelle Kenema’s 19th and have averaged 2.2 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) compared to the hosts’ 1.4 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). The visitors have the better defence — conceding 0.87 goals per away match versus 1.27 conceded by the hosts at home, and season goals against of 24 versus 32. In attack both teams average 1.0 goal per match (26 vs 25 on the season), however Ethiopian Medhin have a higher xG (1.29 vs 1.18) and attempt more shots (8.0 vs 6.13) with greater possession share (54% vs 49%). Mekelle compensate with a higher shot conversion (16% vs 13%) and a lower percentage of home matches without a goal (27% vs 33%), but the hosts’ high draw rate at home (47%) increases the probability of a shared result. Considering the visitors’ more solid defence and current form, I forecast an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelle Kenema | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mekelle Kenema is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema · 0.8 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopian Medhin is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema · 0.84 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Mekelle Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mekelle Kenema
Over / Under — Ethiopian Medhin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopian Medhin is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema · 1.24 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mekelle Kenema
Ethiopian Medhin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelle Kenema | Liga | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.74 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 40% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 34% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | • 39% | 40% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | • 55% | 56% | ▼ 51% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mekelle Kenema 1 - 0 - 0 Ethiopian Medhin. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelle Kenema 1:1 Ethiopian Medhin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Mekelle Kenema score 0.79 goals per game on average and Ethiopian Medhin 0.78. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Mekelle Kenema's matches and 43% of Ethiopian Medhin's.
What form are Mekelle Kenema and Ethiopian Medhin in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelle Kenema have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ethiopian Medhin 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.