Mekelle Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match statistics
Mekelle Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mekelle Kenema played against Welwalo Adigrat Uni in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on April 13, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Mekelle Kenema has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Welwalo Adigrat Uni has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Mekelle Kenema scores 0.73 goals per game and allows 1.04. Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.70 and allows 1.04. Games in this league average 1.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Mekelle Kenema's games and 44% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 30%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelle Kenema has the higher season xG average, 1.17 to 0.97 per game. Mekelle Kenema takes 6.3 shots per game, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni takes 5.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Mekelle Kenema leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.31 goals per game after halftime. Welwalo Adigrat Uni leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mekelle Kenema's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Welwalo Adigrat Uni, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.78 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Welwalo Adigrat Uni has been better recently: in the last 5 matches they have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, averaging 1.6 points per game, whereas Mekelle Kenema have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, averaging 0.2 points per game and only 1 goal scored in those five fixtures. Defensively the advantage lies with the visitors — Welwalo concedes 0.85 goals on average away and keeps 38% clean sheets, while the home side concedes 1.23 goals at home and has 23% clean sheets. The home attack creates slightly more quality chances: Mekelle records 3.31 shots on target and 1.22 xG per home match versus 2.54 shots on target and 1.02 xG generated by Welwalo on the road, yet both teams have 19 goals in the season, indicating low finishing efficiency. The high draw rates (home team 54% draws at home, visitors 54% draws away) and the fact Welwalo fail to score in 46% of away matches increase the probability of a low-scoring game or point split. Considering the visitors’ better form and tighter defense, I predict a narrow Welwalo victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis indicates the "BTTS - No" scenario is more likely. In the last 5 matches both teams scored only 20% (last 5 for home and away = 20%), while seasonally home sides have BTTS 38% and away 54% (average 46%), yielding a mixed picture but recent results are decisive. Combined average goals scored is 0.62 + 0.85 = 1.47 goals per match, below the league average of 1.78, and hosts in the last 5 matches score only 0.2 goals on average (vs 0.8 for visitors), which strongly reduces the chances of both teams scoring. Additionally, hosts have xG 0.93 with actual 0.62 goals, and visitors xG 1.02 with 0.85 goals; finishing rates are 12% and 14%, and clean sheets seasonally are 31% (home) and 38% (away), suggesting frequent matches with a single clean sheet. Overall I weight these factors to estimate BTTS at 30% (Yes) vs 70% (No), therefore I recommend choosing "No Goal".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal numbers indicate a low goal output: Mekelle Kenema scores 0.62 goals per match on average, Welwalo 0.85, totaling 1.47 goals per match, but xG is higher — 0.93 for the home side and 1.02 for the visitors (total xG = 1.95). In the last 5 matches the home team has an average xG of 1.01 and the away team 0.94, confirming both teams generate roughly 1.0 xG per match each. Both sides have 54% of games over 1.5 goals this season, which together is a strong signal for Over 1.5, while the 2.5 line is less certain — Mekelle has 15% of matches over 2.5, and Welwalo 46%. Additionally, the league average is only 1.78 goals per match, with 28% of league games over 2.5, which advises caution on the 2.5 line. Based on this, I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal given the expected xG of 0.93 and 1.02 (total 1.95).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to a draw at Half-Time and a draw at Full-Time (X/X): a half-time draw occurred in 54% of matches for both teams, and Welwalo records as many as 54% draws this season, increasing the likelihood of a split of points. The match projects as low-scoring: Mekelle averages 0.62 goals per game, Welwalo 0.85, versus a league average of 1.78; xG is 0.93 compared to 1.02 for the visitors, suggesting a limited number of clear chances. In first halves Mekelle averages 0.54 goals versus 0.23 for the away side, but only 15% of matches saw both teams score by the break, so the first half often finishes level and low or goalless. The last five fixtures introduce some risk of a turnaround (Mekelle has 0% wins in their last five, while Welwalo led at the break in 40% of their last five), therefore the distribution also assigns moderate chances to 1/1 and 2/2; however X/X receives the highest probability (34%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelle Kenema | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Mekelle Kenema · 1.6 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelle Kenema scores in 54% of games (14 of 26 meczów), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 meczów).
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 56% of games (15 of 27 meczów), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mekelle Kenema
Over / Under - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / game - Mekelle Kenema · 1.22 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 15%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mekelle Kenema
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelle Kenema | Liga | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.77 | 1.78 | • 1.74 |
| Both teams scored | • 42% | 42% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 40% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 59% | ▼ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Mekelle KenemaGoalFitsum Alemu Fekir
Head-to-head
Record from Mekelle Kenema's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelle Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelle Kenema 2:1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelle Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Mekelle Kenema score 0.73 goals per game on average and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.70. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Mekelle Kenema's matches and 44% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's.
What form are Mekelle Kenema and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelle Kenema have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelle Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.