Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar: match statistics
Melbourne Victory FC displays significantly better home form with a 57% win rate at home and a positive goal difference of +7 in matches in front of their own fans. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per match in home games with an xG of 1.96, indicating a consistently effective offense. Brisbane Roar is in terrible form, having lost 4 of their last 5 matches and conceding as many as 12 goals during this period, while their away form is poor with only a 33% win rate and a negative goal difference of -3. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.96 vs 1.34), and Brisbane has defensive issues in away matches, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per game. Considering Melbourne's advantage at their home stadium and the visitors' form crisis, a home win appears to be the most likely scenario, although Brisbane is capable of scoring goals, which leaves room for a draw or an upset.
Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Melbourne Victory FC played against Brisbane Roar in A-League (Australia). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Melbourne Victory FC has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Brisbane Roar has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Melbourne Victory FC scores 1.44 goals per game and allows 1.31. Brisbane Roar scores 1.00 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Melbourne Victory FC's games and 47% of Brisbane Roar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 53%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Melbourne Victory FC has the higher season xG average, 1.84 to 1.40 per game. Melbourne Victory FC takes 16.9 shots per game, while Brisbane Roar takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Melbourne Victory FC leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.94 goals per game after halftime. Brisbane Roar leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.47 after halftime.
When the teams score
Melbourne Victory FC's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Brisbane Roar, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
A-League games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Melbourne Victory FC displays significantly better home form with a 57% win rate at home and a positive goal difference of +7 in matches in front of their own fans. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per match in home games with an xG of 1.96, indicating a consistently effective offense. Brisbane Roar is in terrible form, having lost 4 of their last 5 matches and conceding as many as 12 goals during this period, while their away form is poor with only a 33% win rate and a negative goal difference of -3. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.96 vs 1.34), and Brisbane has defensive issues in away matches, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per game. Considering Melbourne's advantage at their home stadium and the visitors' form crisis, a home win appears to be the most likely scenario, although Brisbane is capable of scoring goals, which leaves room for a draw or an upset.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Melbourne Victory FC | Brisbane Roar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Melbourne Victory FC is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Melbourne Victory FC · 0.6 pts / game - Brisbane Roar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Melbourne Victory FC is 44% better for: goals scored per game.
1.44 goals / game - Melbourne Victory FC · 1 goals / game - Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory FC scores in 56% of games (9 of 16 meczów), while Brisbane Roar keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 meczów).
Brisbane Roar scores in 71% of games (12 of 17 meczów), while Melbourne Victory FC keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Melbourne Victory FC
Over / Under - Brisbane Roar
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brisbane Roar is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Melbourne Victory FC · 1.35 pts / game - Brisbane Roar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Melbourne Victory FC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Brisbane Roar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Melbourne Victory FC
Brisbane Roar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Melbourne Victory FC | Liga | Brisbane Roar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.75 | 2.82 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 57% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 25% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Melbourne Victory FC's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Brisbane Roar. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar?
The A-League match finished Melbourne Victory FC 1:1 Brisbane Roar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar?
Melbourne Victory FC score 1.44 goals per game on average and Brisbane Roar 1.00. The A-League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Melbourne Victory FC's matches and 47% of Brisbane Roar's.
What form are Melbourne Victory FC and Brisbane Roar in?
Over the last 5 games Melbourne Victory FC have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Brisbane Roar 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar?
The statistical background for Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.