Peru - Primera DivisiónEstadio de la Universidad Nacional San AgustínData current as of October 15, 2026

Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Melgar plays Deportivo Garcilaso in Primera División (Peru). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín.

Recent form

Melgar has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Deportivo Garcilaso has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Melgar scores 1.68 goals per game and allows 1.11. Deportivo Garcilaso scores 1.39 and allows 0.89. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 64% of Melgar's games and 43% of Deportivo Garcilaso's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 36%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Melgar has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.37 per game. Melgar takes 15.4 shots per game, while Deportivo Garcilaso takes 12.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Melgar leads at halftime in 46% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Deportivo Garcilaso leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.86 after halftime.

When the teams score

Melgar's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (13 goals). For Deportivo Garcilaso, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.60)
(3.90)
(4.90)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
1.68Goals scored / game1.39
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
1.11Goals allowed / game0.89
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
55%Average possession46%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
5.07Shots on target / game4.61
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.39Shots per game12.75
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
5.07Shots on target4.61
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
10.9%Shot conversion10.9%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
55%Possession46%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
1.62xG for1.37
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
1.39xG against1.45
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso

Shooting quality

Melgar: DominantDeportivo Garcilaso: Balanced
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
Accuracy (shots on target)33%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Deportivo Garcilaso is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Melgar · 1.8 pts / game - Deportivo Garcilaso

Melgar
LWWDD
Season result split
46% W29% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-8-7
1.68 pts / game · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WLDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.15Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Deportivo Garcilaso
WWLWL
Season result split
50% W21% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-6-8
1.71 pts / game · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-6
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.91Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Melgar is 21% better for: goals scored per game.

1.68 goals / game - Melgar · 1.39 goals / game - Deportivo Garcilaso

Deportivo Garcilaso is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.11 goals / game - Melgar · 0.89 goals / game - Deportivo Garcilaso

Melgar scoring profile: very strong

Melgar scores in 86% of games (24 of 28 games), while Deportivo Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 games).

Deportivo Garcilaso scoring profile: strong

Deportivo Garcilaso scores in 71% of games (20 of 28 games), while Melgar keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 games).

47Goals scored (season)39
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
31Goals conceded (season)25
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
2.79Average goals per game2.29
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
7Goals scored (last 5)9
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal71%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
50%2 goals36%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
25%3 goals18%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
7%4 goals14%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal61%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
21%2 goals18%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
14%3 goals7%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
4%4 goals4%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

43%
Deportivo Garcilaso - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 28 games
58%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time4%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
4%BTTS in both halves4%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
32%Scored in both halves25%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
40%BTTS - last 520%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Melgar is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.82 pts / game - Melgar · 1.61 pts / game - Deportivo Garcilaso

Melgar - half-time state
46% leading43% draw11% trailing
Deportivo Garcilaso - half-time state
36% leading54% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.82Points per game (1st half)1.61
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
0.86Goals scored (1st half)0.54
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
0.36Goals conceded (1st half)0.18
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
1.21Average goals (1st half)0.71
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
68%Clean sheet before half-time86%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
32%No goal before half-time61%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per game (2nd half)1.46
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1.57
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
50%Clean sheet after half-time43%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
50%No goal after half-time43%
MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso

Melgar - second-half results

39% W21% D39% L
51
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Deportivo Garcilaso - second-half results

36% W39% D25% L
45
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.61
PPG before half-time
Lead holding139%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Melgar - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.40
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Deportivo Garcilaso - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.60
Goals scored / game1.00.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game1.21.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Melgar
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
6
3
16-30
13
4
31-45
4
5
46-60
10
4
61-75
9
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Deportivo Garcilaso
ScoredConceded
8
0
0-15
5
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
9
5
46-60
5
5
61-75
10
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Melgar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Deportivo Garcilaso

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
53%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

MelgarLigaDeportivo Garcilaso
Average goals per game• 2.792.75▼ 2.29
Both teams scored▲ 64%58%▼ 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 57%53%▼ 36%
Clean sheets▲ 29%24%▲ 39%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%69%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 82%78%• 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / game
1.08
Away goals / game
+55%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defensive advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Melgar's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Deportivo Garcilaso. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

Deportivo Garcilaso
1 : 0
Melgar
Club Deportivo Garcilaso
1 : 1
FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar
1 : 2
Club Deportivo Garcilaso

FAQ

When do Melgar and Deportivo Garcilaso play?

Melgar face Deportivo Garcilaso on October 17, 2026 in Primera División at Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Melgar and Deportivo Garcilaso?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Melgar won 0, Deportivo Garcilaso won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Melgar score 1.68 goals per game on average and Deportivo Garcilaso 1.39. The Primera División average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Melgar's matches and 43% of Deportivo Garcilaso's.

What form are Melgar and Deportivo Garcilaso in?

Over the last 5 games Melgar have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Deportivo Garcilaso 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

The statistical background for Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.