Mes Shahr-e Babak vs Kara Gostar: match statistics
Mes Shahr-e Babak vs Kara Gostar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mes Shahr-e Babak play Kara Gostar in Azadegan League (Iran). The match date is 11 July 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Mes Shahr-e Babak: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Kara Gostar: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mes Shahr-e Babak scores 1.18 and concedes 0.41 goals per match. Kara Gostar scores 0.86 and concedes 0.71. League average: 1.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mes Shahr-e Babak 26%, Kara Gostar 57%. Over 2.5: Mes Shahr-e Babak 18%, Kara Gostar 14%. League level: BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 22%.
xG, shots and style
Kara Gostar has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.19. Mes Shahr-e Babak: 5.2 shots per match, Kara Gostar: 3.4.
Match halves
Mes Shahr-e Babak: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.65. Kara Gostar: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Mes Shahr-e Babak: 76-90+ (14 goals). Kara Gostar: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.59 goals per match, BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 22%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Mes Shahr-e Babak are clear favorites: they sit 2nd in the table, have 18 wins this season and win 69% of matches at home. In their last 5 games the hosts have scored 11 and conceded only 2; at home they average 1.13 goals scored and just 0.38 conceded per match, with a 63% clean-sheet rate. Kara Gostar show weaker numbers — in their last five they have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, scored 5 and conceded 5, and on the road they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. In terms of chance quality Mes have home xG 1.24 and 4.62 shots on target per game, while Kara Gostar have away xG 1.12 and 4.0 shots on target, giving the hosts an offensive and creative edge. Considering the superior defence (0.38 vs 1.00 average goals conceded), higher average points in the last 5 matches (2.0 vs 1.2) and greater goals scored (11 vs 5), I predict a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mes Shahr-e Babak | Kara Gostar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mes Shahr-e Babak is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Mes Shahr-e Babak · 1.8 pts / match - Kara Gostar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mes Shahr-e Babak is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Mes Shahr-e Babak · 0.86 goals / match - Kara Gostar
Mes Shahr-e Babak is 73% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.41 goals / match - Mes Shahr-e Babak · 0.71 goals / match - Kara Gostar
Mes Shahr-e Babak scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Kara Gostar keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Kara Gostar scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Mes Shahr-e Babak keeps a clean sheet in 62% (21 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mes Shahr-e Babak
Over / Under — Kara Gostar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mes Shahr-e Babak is 161% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.85 pts / match - Mes Shahr-e Babak · 0.71 pts / match - Kara Gostar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mes Shahr-e Babak - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kara Gostar - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mes Shahr-e Babak
Kara Gostar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Mes Shahr-e Babak | Liga | Kara Gostar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.59 | 1.59 | • 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 62% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | • 47% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 62% | 57% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mes Shahr-e Babak vs Kara Gostar?
The Azadegan League match finished Mes Shahr-e Babak 0:0 Kara Gostar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mes Shahr-e Babak vs Kara Gostar?
Mes Shahr-e Babak score 1.18 goals per game on average and Kara Gostar 0.86. The Azadegan League average is 1.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 22% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Mes Shahr-e Babak's matches and 57% of Kara Gostar's.
What form are Mes Shahr-e Babak and Kara Gostar in?
Over the last 5 games Mes Shahr-e Babak have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Kara Gostar 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mes Shahr-e Babak vs Kara Gostar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mes Shahr-e Babak vs Kara Gostar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.