Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya: match statistics
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv played against Polessya in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The game was played on May 3, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Polessya has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 0.56. Polessya scores 1.76 and allows 0.68. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 32% of Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's games and 28% of Polessya's. The Over 2.5 rates are 24% and 40%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.51 per game. Metalist 1925 Kharkiv takes 14.1 shots per game, while Polessya takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.84 goals per game after halftime. Polessya leads at halftime in 52% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Polessya, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ukrainian Premier League games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (2), primarily due to Polessya's superior offensive efficiency. The visitors average 2.17 goals per away match with a 17% conversion rate, while Metalist score 1.17 goals per home match with only an 8% conversion. Metalist's defense is very tight — the hosts concede just 0.42 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 75% of home games, compared to Polessya conceding 0.67 goals away and keeping 58% clean sheets. xG indicates similar quality of created chances (1.49 xG for Metalist at home versus 1.48 xG for Polessya away), but the visitors convert those chances into goals more efficiently. In the last 5 matches Polessya have scored 10 goals versus Metalist’s 7, and although Metalist have a higher points average over the last 5 matches (2.2 vs 2.0), the visitors’ superior shooting efficiency gives them the edge in the prediction.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have low season BTTS rates: Metalist 31% and Polessya 25%, and the league shows only 42% of matches finishing BTTS while as many as 68% end with a clean sheet, which reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture. Metalist has recently displayed very solid defense — conceding an average of 0.2 goals in the last 5 matches and recording clean sheets in 54% of their season matches, with 14 goals conceded in the whole campaign. Polessya is more productive offensively (2.17 goals average this season, 10 goals in the last 5 matches and 17% conversion rate), but also has 58% of matches with a clean sheet and concedes only 0.67 goals on average this season, so their goals do not automatically imply an exchange of strikes. xG shows a similar level of chance creation for both sides (xG 1.53 for Metalist versus 1.48 for Polessya, with xG against 1.14 for Metalist and 1.00 for Polessya), which together with low BTTS rates and a high percentage of clean sheets supports the scenario that at least one team will keep a clean sheet. Therefore I tip 'No' as the stronger signal: I assess the probability of no BTTS at about 70% versus 30% for BTTS (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Metalist 1925 scores on average 1.38 goals per match, Polessya 2.17; their xG is 1.53 (Metalist) and 1.48 (Polessya), giving a combined xG = 3.01 expected goals. Season-to-date the percentage of matches over 1.5 goals is 69% for Metalist and 75% for Polessya, while the league average is 2.6 goals, which supports a scenario of at least two goals. Despite high clean sheet rates (54% Metalist, 58% Polessya), the last 5 matches show offensive form: Metalist 7 scored and 1 conceded (avg 1.4/0.2), Polessya 10 scored and 3 conceded (avg 2.0/0.6). A Poisson model on total xG=3.01 yields roughly an 80% probability for Over 1.5, ~58% for Over 2.5 and ~36% for Over 3.5, therefore the most reliable and strongest signal is the Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal indicates a lead at the break and a Full-Time victory for the visitors: Polessya led at half-time in 67% of matches (8 instances) and has a season win rate of 75%, while Metalist wins 46% of fixtures. In the first half Polessya averages 1.42 goals versus Metalist’s 0.77, and in the last five matches the visitors scored 8 first-half goals compared to only 1 for the hosts, demonstrating the visitors’ advantage before the break. Over the full match Polessya records 2.17 goals per game and an average of 2.25 points per match, versus Metalist’s 1.38 goals and 1.69 points, which supports the visitors’ victory scenario. Despite similar xG (Metalist 1.53 vs Polessya 1.48), the visitors’ higher shot conversion rate — 17% versus the hosts’ 10% — increases the likelihood that Polessya will maintain the lead and win (2/2); an alternative is a Half-Time draw followed by a visitors’ turnaround to win (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Polessya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · 2 pts / game - Polessya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polessya is 42% better for: goals scored per game.
1.24 goals / game - Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · 1.76 goals / game - Polessya
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.56 goals / game - Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · 0.68 goals / game - Polessya
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv scores in 68% of games (17 of 25 meczów), while Polessya keeps a clean sheet in 56% (14 of 25 meczów).
Polessya scores in 72% of games (18 of 25 meczów), while Metalist 1925 Kharkiv keeps a clean sheet in 56% (14 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Over / Under - Polessya
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Polessya is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / game - Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · 1.92 pts / game - Polessya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Polessya - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Polessya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Liga | Polessya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.80 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 42% | ▼ 28% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 34% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 69% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 76% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Polessya. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0:1 Polessya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya?
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv score 1.24 goals per game on average and Polessya 1.76. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's matches and 28% of Polessya's.
What form are Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and Polessya in?
Over the last 5 games Metalist 1925 Kharkiv have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Polessya 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.