Metta - LU vs Skanste: match statistics
Metta - LU vs Skanste: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Metta - LU played against Skanste in 1. Liga (Latvia). The game was played on July 4, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Metta - LU has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Skanste has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Metta - LU scores 3.55 goals per game and allows 0.91. Skanste scores 1.90 and allows 1.80. Games in this league average 3.48 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Metta - LU's games and 50% of Skanste's. The Over 2.5 rates are 82% and 60%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 68% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Metta - LU has the higher season xG average, 3.03 to 1.56 per game. Metta - LU takes 21.8 shots per game, while Skanste takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Metta - LU leads at halftime in 82% of its games and scores 1.36 goals per game after halftime. Skanste leads at halftime in 10% and scores 1.10 after halftime.
When the teams score
Metta - LU's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Skanste, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Liga games average 3.48 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 68% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Metta has a clear offensive and possession advantage: at home they score an average of 4.5 goals per game, take 27.33 shots of which 15.83 are on target and average 60% possession, while Skanste away average 2.2 goals with 11.75 shots and only 5 shots on target and 42% possession. The difference in quality of chances is confirmed by xG: Metta’s home xG is 3.4 versus Skanste’s away xG of 1.58, while xG against is 0.64 for the hosts and 2.14 for the visitors. Form also favors Metta – the hosts scored 23 goals in their last 5 matches and have a 4W-1D record (average 2.6 pts per game), whereas Skanste scored 9 goals in five matches with a 2-0-3 record and 1.2 pts per game. Metta is more clinical (conversion rate 16% vs 11% for Skanste), have no home matches without a goal (0%) and 50% of home games with a clean sheet; Skanste have no clean sheets away and failed to score in 40% of away matches. Considering superiority in shots, xG, efficiency and recent form, I predict a home win ('1') with approximately a 78% chance of victory, 12% for a draw and 10% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data analysis supports BTTS - Yes. Skanste concedes an average of 2.6 goals per game this season, has xG against of 2.14 and 0% clean sheets, significantly increasing the likelihood of conceding. Metta - LU scored 23 goals in the last 5 matches (4.6 per game) and has xG of 3.39 across those five fixtures, while conceding 6 goals (1.2 per game), so they create many chances and also allow goals. Seasonal BTTS rates are 40% for Metta and 60% for Skanste, and the league records 62% of matches with Goal/Goal, further supporting the both teams to score scenario. Overall, considering Metta’s average of 1.0 goals conceded and Skanste’s clear defensive issues, I assess the probability of BTTS - Yes at 75% versus 25% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model (home xG 1.54 vs xG against visitors 2.14 and away xG 1.58 vs xG against home 1.55) projects 1.84 goals for Mett - LU and 1.56 for Skanste, totaling 3.40 expected goals. Both teams have 100% of season matches with over 1.5 goals (home 100%, away 100%), and the league average is 3.51 goals per game, which strongly favors Over 1.5. Signals for the 2.5 line are moderately strong: season Over 2.5 is 40% for the home side and 80% for the away side, and the hosts’ last 5 matches are 100% Over 2.5; combined with a total xG of 3.40 this yields an estimated probability of Over 2.5 of about 66%. The 3.5 line is less convincing — season Over 3.5 is 20% (home) and 80% (away), and a Poisson model with lambda=3.40 indicates roughly a 44% chance of Over 3.5. Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest and safest signal, while acknowledging that Over 2.5 has moderate value (~66%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Metta leading at the break: in their last 5 matches Metta were leading at half-time in 5 of 5 (100%) and averaged 3.5 goals by the break, while Skanste averaged only 0.25 goals by half-time in those same 5 matches. Offensive indicators are similar (xG_for 1.54 for Metta vs 1.58 for Skanste), but the visitors have more pronounced defensive issues — xG_against 2.14 and they concede on average 2.6 goals per match this season versus 1.0 conceded by Metta. Metta’s form is superior: in the last 5 fixtures they have 4 wins and 1 draw (80% wins) and average 2.6 points per game in that run, while Skanste have a 40% win rate and about 1.2 points per game. Considering Metta’s dominance before the break and Skanste’s greater susceptibility to conceding, the most likely scenario is Metta leading at half-time and Metta winning after 90 minutes (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Metta - LU | Skanste | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 52% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Metta - LU is 44% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Metta - LU · 1.8 pts / game - Skanste
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Metta - LU is 87% better for: goals scored per game.
3.55 goals / game - Metta - LU · 1.9 goals / game - Skanste
Metta - LU is 98% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.91 goals / game - Metta - LU · 1.8 goals / game - Skanste
Metta - LU scores in 100% of games (11 of 11 meczów), while Skanste keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 meczów).
Skanste scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 meczów), while Metta - LU keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Metta - LU
Over / Under - Skanste
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Metta - LU is 277% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.64 pts / game - Metta - LU · 0.7 pts / game - Skanste
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Metta - LU - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 82% of games and wins 82%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Skanste - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +11 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Metta - LU
Skanste
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Metta - LU | Liga | Skanste | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.45 | 3.48 | ▲ 3.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 82% | 68% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 85% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Metta - LU vs Skanste?
The 1. Liga match finished Metta - LU 3:1 Skanste. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Metta - LU vs Skanste?
Metta - LU score 3.55 goals per game on average and Skanste 1.90. The 1. Liga average is 3.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Metta - LU's matches and 50% of Skanste's.
What form are Metta - LU and Skanste in?
Over the last 5 games Metta - LU have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Skanste 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Metta - LU vs Skanste?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Metta - LU vs Skanste: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.