France - Ligue 1Data current as of 18 July 2026

Metz vs Lorient: match statistics

Metz crest
Metz
0 : 4half-time 0:1
Lorient crest
Lorient

Metz vs Lorient: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Metz play Lorient in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 0:4.

Current form

Metz: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Lorient: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Metz scores 0.94 and concedes 2.24 goals per match. Lorient scores 1.41 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.83 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Metz 50%, Lorient 53%. Over 2.5: Metz 62%, Lorient 44%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Lorient has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.13. Metz: 10.1 shots per match, Lorient: 11.3.

Match halves

Metz: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.53. Lorient: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.82.

Goals by minute

Metz: 76-90+ (11 goals). Lorient: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Metz at home produces an average xG of 1.35, 3.94 shots on target and scores 0.94 goals per match, but over the season has only 3 wins and sits 18th with 32 goals for and 72 against. Their form is poor: in the last 5 matches Metz has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses and averages 0.4 points per game, conceding 12 goals in those five fixtures. Lorient has a better season record: 10 wins, 44 scored and 49 conceded, and in the last 5 matches they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.0 point per game. Away, Lorient generates xG 1.17, averages 3.25 shots on target and scores 0.81 goals, but fail to score in 56% of away matches, while Metz fail to score at home in 44% of games. Considering Lorient’s advantage in total wins and recent five-match points average (10 vs 3 and 1.0 vs 0.4), I back the away win with moderate probability, although I expect a low-scoring game and a risk of a draw.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

54Possession (%)46
MetzLorient
8Shots14
MetzLorient
2Shots on target7
MetzLorient
1.08xG1.6
MetzLorient
7Corners4
MetzLorient
58Dangerous attacks31
MetzLorient
8Fouls8
MetzLorient
2Cards2
MetzLorient

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.94Goals scored / match1.41
MetzLorient
2.24Goals conceded / match1.5
MetzLorient
49%Average possession45%
MetzLorient
3.18Shots on target / match3.94
MetzLorient

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.06Shots per match11.32
MetzLorient
3.18Shots on target3.94
MetzLorient
9.4%Shot conversion12.5%
MetzLorient
49%Possession45%
MetzLorient
1.13xG for1.28
MetzLorient
1.7xG against1.38
MetzLorient

Shooting quality

Metz: BalancedLorient: Counter-attacking
MetzLorient
Accuracy (shots on target)32%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lorient is 250% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Metz · 1.4 pts / match - Lorient

Metz
LDLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
9% W24% R68% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-8-23
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -44
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-4-11
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Lorient
WLDWL
Season result split
32% W35% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-12-11
1.32 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-6-8
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lorient is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

0.94 goals / match - Metz · 1.41 goals / match - Lorient

Lorient is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.24 goals / match - Metz · 1.5 goals / match - Lorient

Metz scoring profile: strong

Metz scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Lorient keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).

Lorient scoring profile: very strong

Lorient scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Metz keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).

32Goals scored (season)48
MetzLorient
76Goals conceded (season)51
MetzLorient
3.18Average goals in match2.91
MetzLorient
6Goals scored (last 5)10
MetzLorient
13Goals conceded (last 5)7
MetzLorient

How often they score at least...

56%1 goal71%
MetzLorient
29%2 goals44%
MetzLorient
6%3 goals21%
MetzLorient
3%4 goals6%
MetzLorient

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal79%
MetzLorient
59%2 goals38%
MetzLorient
53%3 goals18%
MetzLorient
21%4 goals6%
MetzLorient

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time15%
MetzLorient
21%BTTS in both halves9%
MetzLorient
21%Scored in both halves38%
MetzLorient

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
MetzLorient
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
MetzLorient
60%BTTS - last 540%
MetzLorient

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
MetzLorient
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
MetzLorient
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
MetzLorient

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
MetzLorient
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
MetzLorient
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
MetzLorient

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lorient is 145% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.65 pts / match - Metz · 1.59 pts / match - Lorient

Metz - half-time state
6% leading47% draw47% trailing
Lorient - half-time state
41% leading35% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.65Points per match (1st half)1.59
MetzLorient
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.59
MetzLorient
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
MetzLorient
1.41Average goals (1st half)1.09
MetzLorient
38%Clean sheet before half-time68%
MetzLorient
65%No goal before half-time47%
MetzLorient

After half-time (2nd half)

0.62Points per match (2nd half)1.26
MetzLorient
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
MetzLorient
1.24Goals conceded (2nd half)1
MetzLorient
1.76Average goals (2nd half)1.82
MetzLorient
32%Clean sheet after half-time32%
MetzLorient
59%No goal after half-time44%
MetzLorient

Metz - second-half results

9% W35% R56% P
22
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-20
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-24
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.65
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lorient - second-half results

32% W29% R38% P
54
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding78%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Metz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.8
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Lorient - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Metz
ScoredConceded
4
12
0-15
4
9
16-30
6
13
31-45
5
9
46-60
2
9
61-75
11
24
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.

Lorient
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
7
6
16-30
9
5
31-45
8
11
46-60
7
7
61-75
13
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.04
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-34%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Metz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
181%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

Lorient

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

MetzLigaLorient
Average goals in match 3.182.83 2.91
Both teams scored 50%51% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 62%53% 44%
Clean sheets 21%28% 21%
Goal before half-time 68%70% 71%
Goal after half-time 76%79% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.83
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.59
Home goals / match
1.24
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Metz 0 - 1 - 0 Lorient. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Metz vs Lorient?

The Ligue 1 match finished Metz 0:4 Lorient. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Metz vs Lorient?

Metz score 0.94 goals per game on average and Lorient 1.41. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Metz's matches and 53% of Lorient's.

What form are Metz and Lorient in?

Over the last 5 games Metz have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Lorient 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Metz vs Lorient?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.