Mezőkövesd-Zsóry vs Gyirmót: match statistics

Mezőkövesd-Zsóry have a perfect home record: they have won 100% of their matches, have not conceded a goal and average 1 goal per game. The hosts create clearly more quality chances, with an average xG of 1.61 compared with Gyirmót’s 1.02, while also registering 12 shots and 5 on target per match, compared with 7 and 2 for the visitors. Gyirmót are higher in the table and have recorded 3 wins, a draw and a defeat in their last five matches, scoring 9 goals, whereas Mezőkövesd-Zsóry have 2 wins and 3 defeats during the same period. However, the visitors have kept a clean sheet away from home despite allowing opponents an xG of 1.91, which suggests vulnerability to a higher volume of chances. A balanced, relatively low-scoring match is expected, but the hosts’ superiority in chance creation and home advantage slightly favor a 1 result.

The strongest argument for the BTTS - No scenario is Mezőkövesd-Zsóry’s current attacking form: in their last five matches, the team scored just 0.6 goals per game, while BTTS occurred in only 20% of those fixtures. The hosts created chances worth an average of 1.10 xG, whereas Gyirmót conceded 1.6 goals and allowed opponents 1.64 xG over their last five league rounds, which still gives the hosts a realistic chance of scoring. On the other hand, Gyirmót have recently averaged 1.8 goals scored, while Mezőkövesd-Zsóry conceded 0.8 goals, making an away goal more likely than a goal for the hosts. The visitors’ season-long defensive data is highly favorable, as they kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches, although this should be weighed cautiously against the high 1.91 xG they allow per game. With the league-average BTTS rate standing at 59%, the hosts’ poor recent efficiency nevertheless shifts the assessment slightly toward a result in which at least one team fails to score.

Mezőkövesd-Zsóry’s last five matches produced just 1.4 total goals per game, with the team scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.8. Gyirmót play a more open style, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match over this period, although the hosts’ opponents have recorded an xG of only 1.03 against them. The estimated xG points to moderate overall potential: 1.10 for the home side in their last five matches and 1.37 for the visitors, supporting a forecast of around 2.26 goals. Although 80% of Gyirmót’s recent matches went Over 2.5 goals, only 20% of Mezőkövesd-Zsóry’s games reached that line, making Under 3.5 goals the safest pick.

A draw at half-time is strongly supported by current form, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 3 of their last 5 matches, or 60% of the time. During this period, Mezőkövesd scored just 0.4 goals before the break, while Gyirmót averaged 0.8, limiting the likelihood of either side establishing a clear advantage in the first half. After the break, the visitors’ edge becomes more pronounced: Gyirmót score an average of 1.0 goals in the second half, compared with just 0.2 for the hosts, and the visitors have scored after half-time in each of their last 5 matches. Overall, Gyirmót have recently averaged 1.8 goals and 2.0 points per match, compared with Mezőkövesd’s 0.6 goals and 1.2 points. Although the hosts create more chances according to xG—1.44 compared with the opponents’ 1.02—Gyirmót have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches so far this season. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time and an away win at full-time (X/2).