Middelfart vs HB Køge: match statistics
Middelfart vs HB Køge: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Middelfart played against HB Køge in 1st Division (Denmark). The game was played on May 16, 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Recent form
Middelfart has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. HB Køge has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Middelfart scores 0.97 goals per game and allows 2.28. HB Køge scores 1.31 and allows 1.59. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Middelfart's games and 62% of HB Køge's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 55%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
HB Køge has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.21 per game. Middelfart takes 9.9 shots per game, while HB Køge takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Middelfart leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.45 goals per game after halftime. HB Køge leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Middelfart's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). For HB Køge, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1st Division games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (2). HB Køge has recorded 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5, averaging 2.2 points per game. Middelfart have 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 15 (averaging 3.0 goals conceded per game) and concede on average 2.21 goals per home game this season. In terms of quality of chances xG is similar (1.20 for the home side vs 1.24 for the away side), but HB Køge attempts more shots (11.14 vs 9.71), has better conversion (12% vs 10%) and a lower share of games without a goal (21% vs 36%). Therefore, given the advantage in form and efficiency I estimate probabilities of 60% for HB Køge, 22% for a draw and 18% for Middelfart.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I pick BTTS 'Yes' (80%) vs 'No' (20%) because HB Køge has a season BTTS rate of 79% and 80% in the last 5 matches, while Middelfart, despite a season BTTS of 47%, has 60% in their last 5. Middelfart conceded 15 goals in their last 5 matches (3.0 avg) and has a recent xG_against of 2.1, significantly increasing opponents' scoring chances; HB Køge scored 8 goals in those 5 matches (1.6 avg) with a recent xG_for of 1.45. Seasonally HB Køge concedes 2.07 goals per game, and Middelfart scores 1.33 on average, with Middelfart xG_for 1.59 vs xG_against_away 1.61 – both teams create scoring opportunities. Middelfart averages 14.2 shots and 4.8 on target, HB Køge 11.14 and 3.64 with conversion rates 9% vs 12%, confirming a realistic chance of goals from both sides. Additionally the league BTTS average is 55% and HB Køge has only 7% clean sheets seasonally, so the strongest signal in the data points to BTTS 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Strong signal for Over 1.5: Middelfart has 80% of matches over 1.5 goals, and HB Køge 93%, so both teams regularly exceed this threshold. From an xG perspective I expect about 1.60 goals for the home side (xG_for 1.59 vs xG_against_away 1.61) and 1.39 for the visitors (xG_for 1.24 vs xG_against_home 1.54), totaling ~2.99 expected goals and supporting Over 2.5. In the last 5 matches Middelfart conceded on average 3.0 goals (15 conceded), while HB Køge scored on average 1.6 goals (8 scored), which confirms the likelihood of goals from both sides. HB Køge also has 79% of matches with Both Teams to Score and only 7% clean sheets, so the visitors frequently take part in high-scoring games. As a result the strongest and best signal is Over 1.5 (pick: Over 1.5), the 2.5 line also has solid backing (~70% probability), whereas Over 3.5 remains considerably less certain (~38%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics favor a draw: Middelfart average 0.53 goals by the break compared to HB Køge’s 0.43, and the hosts record a half-time draw in 53% of matches (leading at the break in 33%). Over 90 minutes Middelfart have a clear edge — averaging 1.33 goals and 1.6 points per match versus HB Køge’s 1.29 goals and 0.93 points, while the visitors concede 2.07 goals per game on average, which supports a home victory after the break. The advantage is confirmed by xG: 1.59 for Middelfart against 1.24 for HB Køge, and more shots and shots on target (14.2 and 4.8 versus 11.14 and 3.64), so the hosts create more chances. HB Køge, however, have 79% of matches with both teams scoring, and second halves are rarely goalless (second half with goals: Middelfart 93%, HB Køge 86%), so I expect an open and decisive second half. Therefore my strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a Middelfart win after the break (HT/FT X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Middelfart | HB Køge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
HB Køge is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Middelfart · 2.2 pts / game - HB Køge
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HB Køge is 35% better for: goals scored per game.
0.97 goals / game - Middelfart · 1.31 goals / game - HB Køge
HB Køge is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.28 goals / game - Middelfart · 1.59 goals / game - HB Køge
Middelfart scores in 62% of games (18 of 29 meczów), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 meczów).
HB Køge scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 meczów), while Middelfart keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Middelfart
Over / Under - HB Køge
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
HB Køge is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / game - Middelfart · 1.24 pts / game - HB Køge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Middelfart - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 10%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
HB Køge - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Middelfart
HB Køge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Middelfart | Liga | HB Køge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.24 | 2.77 | ▲ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 54% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 79% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Middelfart's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against HB Køge. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Middelfart vs HB Køge?
The 1st Division match finished Middelfart 0:4 HB Køge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Middelfart and HB Køge?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Middelfart won 1, HB Køge won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Middelfart vs HB Køge?
Middelfart score 0.97 goals per game on average and HB Køge 1.31. The 1st Division average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Middelfart's matches and 62% of HB Køge's.
What form are Middelfart and HB Køge in?
Over the last 5 games Middelfart have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and HB Køge 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Middelfart vs HB Køge?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.