Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Middlesbrough plays Cardiff City in Championship (England). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Riverside Stadium.
Recent form
Middlesbrough has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Cardiff City has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Middlesbrough scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.40. Cardiff City scores 1.60 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 80% of Middlesbrough's games and 80% of Cardiff City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 60%, compared with league averages of 66% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cardiff City has the higher season xG average, 2.06 to 1.92 per game. Middlesbrough takes 17.4 shots per game, while Cardiff City takes 18.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Middlesbrough leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.30 goals per game after halftime. Cardiff City leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Middlesbrough's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Cardiff City, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 66% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Middlesbrough | Cardiff City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Middlesbrough is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Middlesbrough · 1.4 pts / game - Cardiff City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Middlesbrough is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Middlesbrough · 1.6 goals / game - Cardiff City
Middlesbrough is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.4 goals / game - Middlesbrough · 1.5 goals / game - Cardiff City
Middlesbrough scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 games), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 games).
Cardiff City scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Middlesbrough keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Middlesbrough
Over / Under - Cardiff City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Middlesbrough is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / game - Middlesbrough · 1.1 pts / game - Cardiff City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Middlesbrough - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cardiff City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Middlesbrough
Cardiff City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Middlesbrough | Liga | Cardiff City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.40 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 66% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 63% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 20% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 78% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 78% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Middlesbrough and Cardiff City play?
Middlesbrough face Cardiff City on October 17, 2026 in Championship at Riverside Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City?
Middlesbrough score 2.00 goals per game on average and Cardiff City 1.60. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Middlesbrough's matches and 80% of Cardiff City's.
What form are Middlesbrough and Cardiff City in?
Over the last 5 games Middlesbrough have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Cardiff City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


