Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıŞəhər stadionuData current as of October 21, 2026

Mil Mugan FK vs İnter Bakı: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Mil Mugan FK vs İnter Bakı: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Mil Mugan FK plays İnter Bakı in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Şəhər stadionu.

Recent form

Mil Mugan FK has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. İnter Bakı has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Mil Mugan FK scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 1.63. İnter Bakı scores 1.50 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Mil Mugan FK's games and 75% of İnter Bakı's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Mil Mugan FK has the higher season xG average, 1.23 to 1.22 per game. Mil Mugan FK takes 10.9 shots per game, while İnter Bakı takes 9.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Mil Mugan FK leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. İnter Bakı leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.88 after halftime.

When the teams score

Mil Mugan FK's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For İnter Bakı, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premyer Liqası games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 0.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0.88Goals scored / game1.5
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
1.63Goals allowed / game1.13
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
40%Average possession46%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
4.25Shots on target / game4
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.88Shots per game9.25
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
4.25Shots on target4
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
8%Shot conversion16.2%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
40%Possession46%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
1.23xG for1.22
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
1.63xG against1.48
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

Shooting quality

Mil Mugan FK: Balancedİnter Bakı: Counter-attacking
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
Accuracy (shots on target)39%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

İnter Bakı is 267% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Mil Mugan FK · 2.2 pts / game - İnter Bakı

Mil Mugan FK
LLLLW
Season result split
25% W13% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-5
0.88 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 at home
1-0-2
LLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.75BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
İnter Bakı
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
38% W50% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-1
1.63 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-1
Last 5 away
1-4-0
DDWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

İnter Bakı is 70% better for: goals scored per game.

0.88 goals / game - Mil Mugan FK · 1.5 goals / game - İnter Bakı

İnter Bakı is 44% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.63 goals / game - Mil Mugan FK · 1.13 goals / game - İnter Bakı

Mil Mugan FK scoring profile: very strong

Mil Mugan FK scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 games), while İnter Bakı keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).

İnter Bakı scoring profile: strong

İnter Bakı scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 games), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).

7Goals scored (season)12
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
13Goals conceded (season)9
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
2.5Average goals per game2.63
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
5Goals scored (last 5)11
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal75%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
13%2 goals38%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0%3 goals25%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0%4 goals13%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal75%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
63%2 goals25%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
38%3 goals13%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0%4 goals0%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0%Scored in both halves13%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
60%BTTS - last 5100%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

İnter Bakı is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Mil Mugan FK · 1.25 pts / game - İnter Bakı

Mil Mugan FK - half-time state
13% leading63% draw25% trailing
İnter Bakı - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.25
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.13
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
63%No goal before half-time63%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

After half-time (2nd half)

0.75Points per game (2nd half)1.63
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0.38Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
38%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı
63%No goal after half-time50%
Mil Mugan FKİnter Bakı

Mil Mugan FK - second-half results

13% W38% D50% L
8
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding192%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

İnter Bakı - second-half results

38% W50% D13% L
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Mil Mugan FK - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.40
Goals scored / game0.80.2
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game1.81.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
İnter Bakı - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.20
Goals scored / game0.81.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.42.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Mil Mugan FK
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

İnter Bakı
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.57
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-87%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Mil Mugan FK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

İnter Bakı

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

Mil Mugan FKLigaİnter Bakı
Average goals per game• 2.502.57• 2.63
Both teams scored▲ 50%46%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%46%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 38%32%▼ 25%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%65%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%78%▼ 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / game
1.13
Away goals / game
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Mil Mugan FK's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss against İnter Bakı. Games average 0.33 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Mil Mugan FK and İnter Bakı play?

Mil Mugan FK face İnter Bakı on October 25, 2026 in Premyer Liqası at Şəhər stadionu. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Mil Mugan FK and İnter Bakı?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mil Mugan FK won 0, İnter Bakı won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Mil Mugan FK vs İnter Bakı?

Mil Mugan FK score 0.88 goals per game on average and İnter Bakı 1.50. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mil Mugan FK's matches and 75% of İnter Bakı's.

What form are Mil Mugan FK and İnter Bakı in?

Over the last 5 games Mil Mugan FK have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and İnter Bakı 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mil Mugan FK vs İnter Bakı?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mil Mugan FK vs İnter Bakı: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.