Mil Mugan FK vs Karvan FK: match statistics
Mil Mugan FK vs Karvan FK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mil Mugan FK play Karvan FK in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 22 May 2026 at 02:00. Venue: Heydər Əliyev adına şəhər stadionu. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Mil Mugan FK: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Karvan FK: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mil Mugan FK scores 0.70 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Karvan FK scores 0.70 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mil Mugan FK 24%, Karvan FK 48%. Over 2.5: Mil Mugan FK 30%, Karvan FK 48%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Mil Mugan FK has higher xG: 1.00 vs 0.90. Mil Mugan FK: 8.3 shots per match, Karvan FK: 6.7.
Match halves
Mil Mugan FK: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.39. Karvan FK: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Mil Mugan FK: 76-90+ (7 goals). Karvan FK: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Mil Mugan FK has a clear advantage defensively and in form: both teams scored 22 goals this season, but Mil Mugan conceded 40 compared to Karvan’s 65, and the hosts concede an average of 1.33 goals per home game while Karvan concedes 2.2 on the road. Mil Mugan also creates more quality chances — average home xG is 0.91 versus 0.76 for Karvan, while xG against is 1.26 vs 1.87, indicating better limitation of opponents’ opportunities. In the last 5 matches the hosts averaged 1.4 points per game and conceded 5 goals, whereas Karvan averaged 0.6 points per game and conceded 8 goals in that period. Mil Mugan registers on average 2.33 shots on target and 7.53 attempts per home match, while Karvan has 1.47 on target and 5.2 attempts away; the visitors have a higher conversion (12% vs 6%), but the low shot volume limits their threat. Considering 8 home wins versus 3 away wins this season, 33% clean sheets for hosts vs 7% for Karvan and a 73% away loss rate for the visitors, I predict a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mil Mugan FK | Karvan FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mil Mugan FK is 400% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK · 0.2 pts / match - Karvan FK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mil Mugan FK is 61% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK · 2 goals / match - Karvan FK
Mil Mugan FK scores in 45% of matches (15 of 33 matches), while Karvan FK keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 33 matches).
Karvan FK scores in 52% of matches (17 of 33 matches), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mil Mugan FK
Over / Under — Karvan FK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mil Mugan FK is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK · 1.03 pts / match - Karvan FK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mil Mugan FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Karvan FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mil Mugan FK
Karvan FK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Mil Mugan FK | Liga | Karvan FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.94 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 24% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 48% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 31% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 65% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mil Mugan FK 1 - 1 - 0 Karvan FK. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mil Mugan FK vs Karvan FK?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Mil Mugan FK 1:1 Karvan FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mil Mugan FK and Karvan FK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mil Mugan FK won 1, Karvan FK won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mil Mugan FK vs Karvan FK?
Mil Mugan FK score 0.70 goals per game on average and Karvan FK 0.70. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 24% of Mil Mugan FK's matches and 48% of Karvan FK's.
What form are Mil Mugan FK and Karvan FK in?
Over the last 5 games Mil Mugan FK have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Karvan FK 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mil Mugan FK vs Karvan FK?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mil Mugan FK vs Karvan FK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.