Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıHeydər Əliyev adına şəhər stadionuData current as of September 07, 2026

Mil Mugan FK vs Neftçi: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Mil Mugan FK vs Neftçi: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Mil Mugan FK plays Neftçi in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game is scheduled for September 11, 2026. Venue: Heydər Əliyev adına şəhər stadionu.

Recent form

Mil Mugan FK has 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Neftçi has 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.25 points per game.

Scoring records

Mil Mugan FK scores 0.75 goals per game and allows 1.25. Neftçi scores 3.00 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Mil Mugan FK's games and 50% of Neftçi's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 75%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Neftçi has the higher season xG average, 1.90 to 1.46 per game. Mil Mugan FK takes 13.3 shots per game, while Neftçi takes 15.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Mil Mugan FK leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Neftçi leads at halftime in 75% and scores 1.25 after halftime.

When the teams score

Mil Mugan FK's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). For Neftçi, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premyer Liqası games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.75Goals scored / game3
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
1.25Goals allowed / game0.75
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
44%Average possession53%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
5Shots on target / game6
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.25Shots per game15
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
5Shots on target6
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
5.7%Shot conversion20%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
44%Possession53%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
1.46xG for1.9
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
1.42xG against1.2
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi

Shooting quality

Mil Mugan FK: BalancedNeftçi: Attacking
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
Accuracy (shots on target)38%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.150.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Neftçi is 125% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Mil Mugan FK · 2.25 pts / game - Neftçi

Mil Mugan FK
DLWL
Season result split
25% W25% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-2
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 at home
0-0-0
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Neftçi
WWLW
Season result split
75% W0% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-1
2.25 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-1
2.25 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 75%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Neftçi is 300% better for: goals scored per game.

0.75 goals / game - Mil Mugan FK · 3 goals / game - Neftçi

Neftçi is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.25 goals / game - Mil Mugan FK · 0.75 goals / game - Neftçi

Mil Mugan FK scoring profile: very strong

Mil Mugan FK scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 meczów), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).

Neftçi scoring profile: strong

Neftçi scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 meczów), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 meczów).

3Goals scored (season)12
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
5Goals conceded (season)3
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
2Average goals per game3.75
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
3Goals scored (last 5)12
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
5Goals conceded (last 5)3
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal75%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
0%2 goals75%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
0%3 goals75%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
0%4 goals50%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal75%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
50%2 goals0%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
25%3 goals0%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
0%4 goals0%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

36%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time0%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
0%Scored in both halves75%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
50%BTTS - last 550%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Neftçi is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.75 pts / game - Mil Mugan FK · 2.25 pts / game - Neftçi

Mil Mugan FK - half-time state
0% leading75% draw25% trailing
Neftçi - half-time state
75% leading0% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.75Points per game (1st half)2.25
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
0.25Goals scored (1st half)1.75
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
0.75Average goals (1st half)2
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
50%Clean sheet before half-time75%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
75%No goal before half-time25%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)2
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)1.25
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.75
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi
50%No goal after half-time25%
Mil Mugan FKNeftçi

Mil Mugan FK - second-half results

25% W25% R50% P
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Neftçi - second-half results

50% W50% R0% P
9
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 75% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Mil Mugan FK - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.751.00
Goals scored / game0.30.5
Goals allowed / game0.50.8
Average goals per game0.81.3
1 goal50%75%
2 goals25%25%
3 goals0%25%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal75%50%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 75% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 25% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 1
Neftçi - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.252.00
Goals scored / game1.81.3
Goals allowed / game0.30.5
Average goals per game2.01.8
1 goal100%75%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals25%25%
Clean sheet75%50%
No goal25%25%
Goal difference+6+3
Half-time: 75% leading - 0% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Mil Mugan FK
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Neftçi
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
4
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
117%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Mil Mugan FK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.71
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
46%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
152%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Neftçi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.70
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.55
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
366%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
46%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

Mil Mugan FKLigaNeftçi
Average goals per game 2.002.45 3.75
Both teams scored 50%36% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%45% 75%
Clean sheets 50%39% 25%
Goal before half-time 50%64% 100%
Goal after half-time 75%73% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.45
Average goals per game
36%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / game
0.82
Away goals / game
+100%
Home attack advantage
+50%
Home defensive advantage
+32%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Mil Mugan FK's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against Neftçi. Games average 3.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

FAQ

When do Mil Mugan FK and Neftçi play?

Mil Mugan FK face Neftçi on September 11, 2026 in Premyer Liqası at Heydər Əliyev adına şəhər stadionu. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Mil Mugan FK and Neftçi?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mil Mugan FK won 1, Neftçi won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Mil Mugan FK vs Neftçi?

Mil Mugan FK score 0.75 goals per game on average and Neftçi 3.00. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mil Mugan FK's matches and 50% of Neftçi's.

What form are Mil Mugan FK and Neftçi in?

Over the last 5 games Mil Mugan FK have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Neftçi 3-0-1 (2.25 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mil Mugan FK vs Neftçi?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mil Mugan FK vs Neftçi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.