Mil Mugan FK vs Sumqayıt: match statistics
Mil Mugan FK vs Sumqayıt: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mil Mugan FK play Sumqayıt in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Mil Mugan FK: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Sumqayıt: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mil Mugan FK scores 0.70 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Sumqayıt scores 1.27 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mil Mugan FK 24%, Sumqayıt 55%. Over 2.5: Mil Mugan FK 30%, Sumqayıt 55%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Sumqayıt has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.00. Mil Mugan FK: 8.3 shots per match, Sumqayıt: 9.7.
Match halves
Mil Mugan FK: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.39. Sumqayıt: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Mil Mugan FK: 76-90+ (7 goals). Sumqayıt: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Sumqayıt holds a clear advantage in chance quality and efficiency: away xG averages 1.21 versus the hosts' 0.88, and average shots on target are 3.71 vs 2.31. The visitors score more goals on the road (1.00 avg) than Mil Mugan do at home (0.54) and display higher shot conversion (11% vs 7%), which increases their realistic probability of finding the net. However, Mil Mugan show better form over the last 5 matches: 2 wins and 1.4 points per game versus Sumqayıt’s 1 win and 0.6 points per game, so the hosts can exploit the visitors’ poor run. Defensively the teams are comparable — Mil Mugan concede 1.38 goals per home game, Sumqayıt concede 1.29 away, but the hosts failed to score in 54% of their home matches versus 29% of away matches with the visitors failing to score. Considering superior xG, more shots on target and greater possession (52% vs 42%), I give Sumqayıt the higher probability of victory, while a draw remains a realistic outcome given Mil Mugan’s recent form.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mil Mugan FK | Sumqayıt | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sumqayıt is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK · 1.2 pts / match - Sumqayıt
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sumqayıt is 81% better for: goals scored per match.
0.7 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK · 1.27 goals / match - Sumqayıt
Mil Mugan FK is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK · 1.52 goals / match - Sumqayıt
Mil Mugan FK scores in 45% of matches (15 of 33 matches), while Sumqayıt keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
Sumqayıt scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mil Mugan FK
Over / Under — Sumqayıt
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mil Mugan FK is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK · 0.91 pts / match - Sumqayıt
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mil Mugan FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sumqayıt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mil Mugan FK
Sumqayıt
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Mil Mugan FK | Liga | Sumqayıt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.94 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 24% | 46% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 31% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mil Mugan FK 1 - 0 - 1 Sumqayıt. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mil Mugan FK vs Sumqayıt?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Mil Mugan FK 0:2 Sumqayıt. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mil Mugan FK and Sumqayıt?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mil Mugan FK won 1, Sumqayıt won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mil Mugan FK vs Sumqayıt?
Mil Mugan FK score 0.70 goals per game on average and Sumqayıt 1.27. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 24% of Mil Mugan FK's matches and 55% of Sumqayıt's.
What form are Mil Mugan FK and Sumqayıt in?
Over the last 5 games Mil Mugan FK have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Sumqayıt 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mil Mugan FK vs Sumqayıt?
The statistical background for Mil Mugan FK vs Sumqayıt — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.