Millonarios vs Atlético Nacional: match statistics
Millonarios displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate and a streak of four consecutive victories at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.83 goals per home match while conceding only 0.67, resulting in a home goal difference of +7. Despite having a better overall record (8 wins), Atlético Nacional struggles away from home – suffering 40% defeats and failing to score in as many as 40% of their away matches. The recent form of both teams is identical (1.8 points per match over the last 5 games); however, Millonarios' home fortress advantage combined with the visitors' weaker away statistics favors the hosts. A closely contested match is expected with a slight edge for the home side, hence a relatively high probability of a draw.
Millonarios vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Millonarios played against Atlético Nacional in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on March 18, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Millonarios has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Atlético Nacional has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Millonarios scores 1.45 goals per game and allows 1.18. Atlético Nacional scores 2.30 and allows 0.60. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Millonarios's games and 40% of Atlético Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 70%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.49 per game. Millonarios takes 15.4 shots per game, while Atlético Nacional takes 16.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Millonarios leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Nacional leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Millonarios's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Atlético Nacional, it is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 0.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Millonarios displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate and a streak of four consecutive victories at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.83 goals per home match while conceding only 0.67, resulting in a home goal difference of +7. Despite having a better overall record (8 wins), Atlético Nacional struggles away from home – suffering 40% defeats and failing to score in as many as 40% of their away matches. The recent form of both teams is identical (1.8 points per match over the last 5 games); however, Millonarios' home fortress advantage combined with the visitors' weaker away statistics favors the hosts. A closely contested match is expected with a slight edge for the home side, hence a relatively high probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Millonarios | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlético Nacional is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Millonarios · 2.4 pts / game - Atlético Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 59% better for: goals scored per game.
1.45 goals / game - Millonarios · 2.3 goals / game - Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional is 97% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.18 goals / game - Millonarios · 0.6 goals / game - Atlético Nacional
Millonarios scores in 82% of games (9 of 11 meczów), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 meczów).
Atlético Nacional scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 meczów), while Millonarios keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Millonarios
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / game - Millonarios · 1.8 pts / game - Atlético Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millonarios - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Millonarios
Atlético Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Millonarios | Liga | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.64 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 58% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 51% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 25% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 68% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Millonarios's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss against Atlético Nacional. Games average 0.75 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Millonarios vs Atlético Nacional?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Millonarios 3:0 Atlético Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Millonarios and Atlético Nacional?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 1, Atlético Nacional won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Millonarios vs Atlético Nacional?
Millonarios score 1.45 goals per game on average and Atlético Nacional 2.30. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Millonarios's matches and 40% of Atlético Nacional's.
What form are Millonarios and Atlético Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Millonarios have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Atlético Nacional 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millonarios vs Atlético Nacional?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.