Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima: match statistics
Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Millonarios play Deportes Tolima in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 24 April 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Millonarios: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Deportes Tolima: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Millonarios scores 1.63 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Deportes Tolima scores 1.35 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Millonarios 63%, Deportes Tolima 43%. Over 2.5: Millonarios 63%, Deportes Tolima 30%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Millonarios has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.39. Millonarios: 15.7 shots per match, Deportes Tolima: 13.2.
Match halves
Millonarios: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.95. Deportes Tolima: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Millonarios: 46-60 (10 goals). Deportes Tolima: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Millonarios have a clear home advantage: they average 1.89 goals scored and only 0.78 conceded per home match, translating to a +10 goal difference at their stadium. Deportes Tolima on the road score 1.00 and also concede 1.00, while their away xG is 1.07 versus Millonarios’ 1.72 home xG, indicating higher-quality chances for the hosts. The hosts create significantly more opportunities — 17.22 shots and 5.78 on target per home game versus Tolima’s 10 shots and 3.5 on target away — with a conversion rate of 11% compared to the visitors’ 10%. In the last 5 matches Millonarios have scored 3 and conceded 7 (averaging 0.8 points per match), whereas Tolima have scored 5 and conceded 6 (averaging 1.0 point), so the visitors have a slightly better short-term form, but their weaker away metrics (they fail to score in 38% of away games) weaken their chances. Considering Millonarios’ strong home record (56% home wins and 44% clean sheets at home), I give 60% for a home win, 25% for a draw and 15% for a Tolima victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Millonarios | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportes Tolima is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Millonarios · 1.4 pts / match - Deportes Tolima
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Millonarios is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Millonarios · 1.35 goals / match - Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Millonarios · 0.91 goals / match - Deportes Tolima
Millonarios scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
Deportes Tolima scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Millonarios keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Millonarios
Over / Under — Deportes Tolima
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportes Tolima is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Millonarios · 1.7 pts / match - Deportes Tolima
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millonarios - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportes Tolima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Millonarios | Liga | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.84 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 48% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Millonarios 1 - 0 - 1 Deportes Tolima. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Millonarios 2:0 Deportes Tolima. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Millonarios and Deportes Tolima?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 1, Deportes Tolima won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima?
Millonarios score 1.63 goals per game on average and Deportes Tolima 1.35. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Millonarios's matches and 43% of Deportes Tolima's.
What form are Millonarios and Deportes Tolima in?
Over the last 5 games Millonarios have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Deportes Tolima 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.