Millwall vs Birmingham City: match statistics
Millwall presents solid home form with 53% of matches won at home and an impressive record of 41% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts remain undefeated in their last five matches, earning 2.2 points per game, which testifies to their stability. Birmingham City has significant problems away from home, where they lose as many as 53% of matches and possess a negative goal difference of -10. The visitors record just 0.88 goals per away match and only 29% wins, putting them in a disadvantageous position. Millwall disposes of a better xG ratio (1.59 vs 1.17) and shot efficiency (10% vs 8%), suggesting higher offensive quality. Considering the hosts' advantage in home matches and Birmingham's poor disposition on the road, I expect a victory for Millwall, although the visitors also present themselves solidly in recent overall form, which may make the match competitive.
Millwall vs Birmingham City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Millwall played against Birmingham City in Championship (England). The game was played on February 25, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Millwall has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Birmingham City has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Millwall scores 1.27 goals per game and allows 1.21. Birmingham City scores 1.36 and allows 1.21. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Millwall's games and 58% of Birmingham City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 48%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Birmingham City has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.45 per game. Millwall takes 12.8 shots per game, while Birmingham City takes 14.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Millwall leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Birmingham City leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.73 after halftime.
When the teams score
Millwall's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Birmingham City, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Millwall presents solid home form with 53% of matches won at home and an impressive record of 41% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts remain undefeated in their last five matches, earning 2.2 points per game, which testifies to their stability. Birmingham City has significant problems away from home, where they lose as many as 53% of matches and possess a negative goal difference of -10. The visitors record just 0.88 goals per away match and only 29% wins, putting them in a disadvantageous position. Millwall disposes of a better xG ratio (1.59 vs 1.17) and shot efficiency (10% vs 8%), suggesting higher offensive quality. Considering the hosts' advantage in home matches and Birmingham's poor disposition on the road, I expect a victory for Millwall, although the visitors also present themselves solidly in recent overall form, which may make the match competitive.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Millwall | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Birmingham City is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Millwall · 2.2 pts / game - Birmingham City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Birmingham City is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.27 goals / game - Millwall · 1.36 goals / game - Birmingham City
Millwall scores in 79% of games (26 of 33 meczów), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 meczów).
Birmingham City scores in 79% of games (26 of 33 meczów), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Millwall
Over / Under - Birmingham City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millwall is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / game - Millwall · 1.24 pts / game - Birmingham City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Millwall
Birmingham City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Millwall | Liga | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.48 | 2.59 | • 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 71% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Millwall's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Birmingham City. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Millwall vs Birmingham City?
The Championship match finished Millwall 3:0 Birmingham City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Birmingham City?
Millwall score 1.27 goals per game on average and Birmingham City 1.36. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Millwall's matches and 58% of Birmingham City's.
What form are Millwall and Birmingham City in?
Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Birmingham City 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Birmingham City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Millwall vs Birmingham City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.